Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	107.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	127.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	119.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	130.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	123.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	101.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	128	134.5354	120.3612	153.2455	0.2468	0.9886	0.7758	0.9886
70	129.6	124.5538	112.2584	140.4628	0.2671	0.3356	0.8175	0.9262
71	125.8	122.97	110.8917	138.575	0.3611	0.2025	0.6547	0.8993
72	119.5	123.5086	109.829	141.8676	0.3343	0.4034	0.7824	0.8735
73	115.7	109.0658	98.3592	122.8964	0.1736	0.0696	0.392	0.2983
74	113.6	113.1794	101.4525	128.5776	0.4787	0.3742	0.5395	0.5193
75	129.7	131.923	115.0765	155.7824	0.4276	0.9339	0.5433	0.9419
76	112	111.023	99.176	126.7259	0.4515	0.0099	0.5948	0.4122
77	116.8	114.5794	101.7873	131.7943	0.4002	0.6155	0.3154	0.5803
78	126.3	129.1572	112.4064	153.0365	0.4073	0.8448	0.667	0.9103
79	112.9	107.0969	95.7422	122.1157	0.2244	0.0061	0.7634	0.2284
80	115.9	113.9547	100.9023	131.6793	0.4148	0.5464	0.5508	0.5508

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.071	-0.0486	0.004	42.7113	3.5593	1.8866
70	0.0652	0.0405	0.0034	25.464	2.122	1.4567
71	0.0647	0.023	0.0019	8.009	0.6674	0.817
72	0.0758	-0.0325	0.0027	16.0691	1.3391	1.1572
73	0.0647	0.0608	0.0051	44.0127	3.6677	1.9151
74	0.0694	0.0037	3e-04	0.1769	0.0147	0.1214
75	0.0923	-0.0169	0.0014	4.9417	0.4118	0.6417
76	0.0722	0.0088	7e-04	0.9545	0.0795	0.282
77	0.0767	0.0194	0.0016	4.9312	0.4109	0.641
78	0.0943	-0.0221	0.0018	8.1636	0.6803	0.8248
79	0.0715	0.0542	0.0045	33.6763	2.8064	1.6752
80	0.0794	0.0171	0.0014	3.784	0.3153	0.5615