| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.1428 | -0.3732 | -0.197 | -0.9607 | -0.147 | -0.2447 | -0.9607 |
| (p-val) | (7e-04 ) | (0.4677 ) | (0.4926 ) | (0 ) | (0.6454 ) | (0.0823 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 1.0049 | -0.1709 | -0.2981 | -0.9611 | 0 | -0.2791 | -0.9611 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.2816 ) | (0.0132 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.031 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9324 | 0 | -0.4109 | -0.9586 | 0 | -0.3591 | -0.9586 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.136846644743055 |
| 5.4667493877268 |
| -10.7713683953540 |
| -5.1065079240981 |
| 12.7382281344519 |
| 1.1199434317353 |
| -6.80694174924182 |
| -11.1487406966319 |
| -11.6209138249603 |
| -8.85434872619538 |
| 13.3724728867581 |
| -12.7379436768417 |
| 7.16262397476902 |
| 5.59422261985806 |
| -11.2863539608069 |
| -4.90640349891731 |
| 25.4397244846922 |
| 13.6460243707999 |
| 1.16515431154108 |
| -2.74469259834954 |
| -14.4278096104339 |
| -8.77238026112592 |
| 25.7875803113664 |
| -8.50832462223939 |
| 0.969130838788997 |
| 21.8164383143843 |
| -21.8367706092113 |
| 18.3801781941699 |
| 6.52990273608348 |
| 24.4937904781679 |
| 3.95585346552291 |
| -3.73310746623237 |
| -9.66330007610214 |
| -8.5924148711724 |
| 18.4535684650934 |
| -7.70291725066488 |
| 2.35105436444450 |
| 4.90881133369898 |
| -17.5749638237206 |
| 4.9722668119885 |
| 31.5238187431581 |
| 6.17629886430256 |
| 20.3010113004674 |
| -22.4052016715638 |
| 1.05458533958350 |
| -12.1107758240031 |
| 21.5154687828848 |
| -11.0185143557838 |
| -7.17968926001762 |
| 30.8115712123986 |
| -14.6488342778704 |
| 0.343235794090967 |
| 19.3620186669950 |
| 22.3519678682566 |
| 15.3617280540961 |
| -20.8278438107744 |
| -7.00965974421249 |
| -25.8236530753554 |
| 16.9439185861605 |
| -19.1117851256522 |
| -32.7963833980471 |
| 29.7284090757051 |
| -37.6554253699458 |
| 2.08043110378836 |
| 20.3461568593737 |
| 29.1388211527646 |
| -4.47254087311537 |
| -12.9391373822432 |
| -10.2556364283197 |
| -17.5459430761444 |
| 23.3790806247905 |
| -7.38328154599442 |
| -22.9755207712301 |
| 23.2543876476621 |
| -16.6294077397935 |
| 0.452418182855431 |
| 45.2853427565136 |
| 45.4961902970217 |
| -2.4426021263369 |
| 1.57866717311925 |
| -7.22510552275124 |
| -16.7042912920498 |
| 46.9671074503568 |
| -13.6353977401984 |
| -13.8292779696149 |
| 31.4211761365979 |
| -20.7130402880036 |
| 10.1541101082951 |
| 57.9867130918549 |
| 38.2267981559099 |
| 14.9780599733333 |
| -11.2091525002652 |
| -10.4135643792438 |
| -12.9636938067361 |
| 36.6358892142617 |
| -13.544903533712 |
| -28.3858024156121 |
| 40.2993084107085 |
| -34.9568516584571 |
| 9.14622547968767 |
| 64.3281531395407 |
| 37.9053818809498 |
| 26.5853091637665 |
| -21.9407912529329 |
| -10.1534296872204 |
| -16.4104203337118 |
| 33.3402697466117 |
| -20.7685037616465 |
| -41.5555345066807 |
| 21.7666641301317 |
| -51.5425042080953 |
| 2.14076611130209 |
| 51.1206433684914 |
| 36.0082728498236 |
| 24.9681453312179 |
| -67.6666872147266 |
| 4.38912780701314 |
| -37.857246775149 |
| 23.0311003940391 |
| -10.9346992354661 |
| -52.0207782421399 |
| 37.3055687476342 |
| -51.8717237700231 |
| 16.5121019267543 |
| 39.3256827887376 |
| 70.6902487362703 |
| 26.9305756686884 |
| -48.4341919232925 |
| 4.88955092698196 |
| -20.8865462033567 |
| 47.2866706040831 |
| -14.103390517921 |
| -44.8239287232602 |
| 10.5044591473250 |
| 8.79112124990451 |
| -8.39855741515234 |
| 61.7445759867994 |
| 83.8911385351213 |
| 5.12246741009614 |
| -34.7266210582844 |
| 15.8923092744175 |
| -45.8713831503159 |
| 52.8507682221234 |
