Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[69])
68128.1-------
69144.3-------
70153137.9864118.8782157.09470.06180.25860.25860.2586
71149.9137.416117.3999157.43210.11080.06350.06350.2501
72150.9137.3788116.7955157.9620.0990.11660.11660.2549
73141137.3766116.2583158.49490.36830.10470.10470.2603
74138.9137.3765115.7374159.01560.44510.37140.37140.2653
75157.4137.3765115.2289159.52410.03820.44640.44640.27
76142.9137.3765114.7317160.02120.31630.04150.04150.2745
77151.7137.3765114.2453160.50770.11240.31990.31990.2787
78161137.3765113.7689160.98410.02490.11720.11720.2827
79138.6137.3765113.3019161.45110.46030.02720.02720.2865
80136137.3765112.8438161.90920.45620.46110.46110.2901
81151.9137.3765112.3941162.35890.12730.5430.5430.2935


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
700.07070.10880.0091225.407618.7844.334
710.07430.09080.0076155.849612.98753.6038
720.07640.09840.0082182.824115.23533.9032
730.07840.02640.002213.1291.09411.046
740.08040.01119e-042.32110.19340.4398
750.08230.14580.0121400.941133.41185.7803
760.08410.04020.003430.50922.54241.5945
770.08590.10430.0087205.163117.09694.1348
780.08770.1720.0143558.070546.50596.8195
790.08940.00897e-041.4970.12470.3532
800.0911-0.018e-041.89470.15790.3974
810.09280.10570.0088210.932517.57774.1926