Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[69])
57	113.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	105.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	108.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	102.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	115.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	109.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	114.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	85.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	100.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	114.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	116.5	108.7308	101.4543	116.0073	0.0182	0.051	0.7771	0.051
71	112.9	110.7577	103.4701	118.0453	0.2822	0.0612	0.7007	0.1385
72	102	103.5492	95.9682	111.1303	0.3444	0.0078	0.6266	0.0018
73	106	100.4658	92.5474	108.3841	0.0854	0.3521	0.6416	2e-04
74	105.3	101.6508	93.7256	109.5759	0.1834	0.141	0.5929	6e-04
75	118.8	116.2958	108.2559	124.3356	0.2708	0.9963	0.5769	0.6423
76	106.1	101.4329	93.3524	109.5134	0.1288	0	0.5705	6e-04
77	109.3	110.4143	102.3211	118.5075	0.3936	0.8519	0.5496	0.1441
78	117.2	115.0549	106.9338	123.176	0.3023	0.9176	0.5437	0.5245
79	91.9	85.7743	77.6448	93.9039	0.0699	0	0.536	0
80	103.9	100.7864	92.6502	108.9225	0.2266	0.9839	0.5275	4e-04
81	115.9	115.0478	106.9053	123.1903	0.4187	0.9964	0.5238	0.5238

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
70	0.0341	0.0715	0.006	60.3606	5.0301	2.2428
71	0.0336	0.0193	0.0016	4.5895	0.3825	0.6184
72	0.0374	-0.015	0.0012	2.4001	0.2	0.4472
73	0.0402	0.0551	0.0046	30.6277	2.5523	1.5976
74	0.0398	0.0359	0.003	13.3169	1.1097	1.0534
75	0.0353	0.0215	0.0018	6.2712	0.5226	0.7229
76	0.0406	0.046	0.0038	21.782	1.8152	1.3473
77	0.0374	-0.0101	8e-04	1.2416	0.1035	0.3217
78	0.036	0.0186	0.0016	4.6015	0.3835	0.6192
79	0.0484	0.0714	0.006	37.5236	3.127	1.7683
80	0.0412	0.0309	0.0026	9.6948	0.8079	0.8988
81	0.0361	0.0074	6e-04	0.7263	0.0605	0.246