Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	15548	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	28029	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	29383	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	36438	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	32034	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	22679	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	24319	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	18004	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	17537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	20366	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	22782	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	19169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	13807	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	29743	30639.6694	24004.2401	40461.0168	0.429	0.9996	0.6988	0.9996
50	25591	28304.3781	22255.6753	37201.0394	0.275	0.3756	0.4061	0.9993
51	29096	33609.3507	25450.4487	46426.858	0.245	0.8899	0.3327	0.9988
52	26482	28833.1909	22198.793	38955.5506	0.3245	0.4797	0.2677	0.9982
53	22405	22301.8124	17642.593	29083.4927	0.4881	0.1135	0.4566	0.993
54	27044	24304.0249	19025.6835	32127.3501	0.2462	0.6829	0.4985	0.9957
55	17970	19339.2693	15514.7853	24774.0884	0.3107	0.0027	0.6849	0.977
56	18730	17916.6466	14483.6649	22732.2319	0.3703	0.4913	0.5614	0.9528
57	19684	20498.9674	16338.6802	26476.9012	0.3947	0.719	0.5174	0.9859
58	19785	23886.0641	18716.9148	31534.5004	0.1466	0.8592	0.6114	0.9951
59	18479	18633.0479	14999.7221	23766.0932	0.4765	0.33	0.4189	0.9673
60	10698	15105.2232	12412.5455	18779.5	0.0094	0.036	0.7557	0.7557

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1635	-0.0293	0.0024	804015.9722	67001.331	258.8462
50	0.1604	-0.0959	0.008	7362420.9842	613535.082	783.2848
51	0.1946	-0.1343	0.0112	20370334.8779	1697527.9065	1302.8921
52	0.1791	-0.0815	0.0068	5528098.5287	460674.8774	678.7303
53	0.1551	0.0046	4e-04	10647.6882	887.3073	29.7877
54	0.1642	0.1127	0.0094	7507463.3621	625621.9468	790.9627
55	0.1434	-0.0708	0.0059	1874898.5435	156241.5453	395.274
56	0.1371	0.0454	0.0038	661543.7335	55128.6445	234.7949
57	0.1488	-0.0398	0.0033	664171.9167	55347.6597	235.2608
58	0.1634	-0.1717	0.0143	16818727.0678	1401560.589	1183.8752
59	0.1406	-0.0083	7e-04	23730.755	1977.5629	44.4698
60	0.1241	-0.2918	0.0243	19423616.6983	1618634.7249	1272.2558