Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[69])
57	113.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	105.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	108.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	102.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	115.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	100.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	109.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	114.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	85.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	100.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	114.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	116.5	111.5792	104.9454	118.213	0.073	0.1706	0.9533	0.1706
71	112.9	110.269	103.6294	116.9087	0.2187	0.0329	0.6677	0.0905
72	102	102.5295	95.6291	109.4299	0.4402	0.0016	0.526	2e-04
73	106	101.3221	93.7748	108.8695	0.1122	0.4301	0.7268	2e-04
74	105.3	102.9986	95.4461	110.5511	0.2752	0.218	0.7246	0.0011
75	118.8	115.2457	107.4652	123.0262	0.1853	0.9939	0.4745	0.5447
76	106.1	104.2221	96.2697	112.1745	0.3217	2e-04	0.8073	0.0046
77	109.3	108.4484	100.4582	116.4385	0.4173	0.7177	0.3609	0.0596
78	117.2	114.6237	106.4957	122.7518	0.2672	0.9004	0.5023	0.483
79	91.9	88.1046	79.8971	96.3121	0.1824	0	0.7408	0
80	103.9	100.6598	92.3968	108.9229	0.2211	0.9811	0.5151	4e-04
81	115.9	114.8364	106.4911	123.1818	0.4014	0.9949	0.5034	0.5034

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
70	0.0303	0.0441	0.0037	24.2142	2.0179	1.4205
71	0.0307	0.0239	0.002	6.9219	0.5768	0.7595
72	0.0343	-0.0052	4e-04	0.2804	0.0234	0.1528
73	0.038	0.0462	0.0038	21.8825	1.8235	1.3504
74	0.0374	0.0223	0.0019	5.2964	0.4414	0.6644
75	0.0344	0.0308	0.0026	12.6333	1.0528	1.026
76	0.0389	0.018	0.0015	3.5265	0.2939	0.5421
77	0.0376	0.0079	7e-04	0.7253	0.0604	0.2458
78	0.0362	0.0225	0.0019	6.6371	0.5531	0.7437
79	0.0475	0.0431	0.0036	14.4052	1.2004	1.0956
80	0.0419	0.0322	0.0027	10.4986	0.8749	0.9354
81	0.0371	0.0093	8e-04	1.1312	0.0943	0.307