Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	172.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	156.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	143.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	153.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	168.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	185.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	199.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	205.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	197.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	199.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	200.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	193.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	179.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	169.1	165.8167	223.1632	137.3	0.5893	0.8283	0.2587	0.8283
38	169.8	168.8596	268.3324	132.5	0.5202	0.5052	0.0875	0.7187
39	195.5	175.3221	295.2412	135.6341	0.8405	0.3925	0.1417	0.5837
40	194.8	180.2157	319.0823	137.9228	0.7504	0.7606	0.2984	0.4886
41	204.5	182.8113	333.2756	139.108	0.8346	0.7046	0.5533	0.4427
42	203.8	196.1988	433.531	144.9159	0.6143	0.6245	0.5562	0.2629
43	204.8	197.8598	450.8367	145.6021	0.6027	0.5882	0.6113	0.2467
44	204.9	196.3404	434.9475	144.9747	0.628	0.6266	0.5176	0.2615
45	240	198.2069	454.6542	145.7445	0.9408	0.5987	0.5208	0.2435
46	248.3	198.4026	456.8409	145.8248	0.9686	0.9395	0.5312	0.2417
47	258.4	184.7602	344.7773	139.985	0.9994	0.9973	0.6522	0.4106
48	254.9	175.3476	295.3567	135.6462	1	1	0.5831	0.5831

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	-0.0877	0.0198	0.0017	10.7798	0.8983	0.9478
38	-0.1099	0.0056	5e-04	0.8843	0.0737	0.2715
39	-0.1155	0.1151	0.0096	407.146	33.9288	5.8248
40	-0.1197	0.0809	0.0067	212.7026	17.7252	4.2101
41	-0.122	0.1186	0.0099	470.3999	39.2	6.261
42	-0.1334	0.0387	0.0032	57.7783	4.8149	2.1943
43	-0.1348	0.0351	0.0029	48.1658	4.0138	2.0035
44	-0.1335	0.0436	0.0036	73.2667	6.1056	2.4709
45	-0.135	0.2109	0.0176	1746.667	145.5556	12.0646
46	-0.1352	0.2515	0.021	2489.7469	207.4789	14.4041
47	-0.1236	0.3986	0.0332	5422.813	451.9011	21.258
48	-0.1155	0.4537	0.0378	6328.5836	527.382	22.9648