Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	172.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	156.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	143.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	153.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	168.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	185.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	199.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	205.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	197.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	199.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	200.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	193.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	179.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	169.1	172.3087	191.2818	156.1771	0.6517	0.8122	0.0266	0.8122
50	169.8	167.4499	202.9821	140.9193	0.5689	0.5485	0.0397	0.8153
51	195.5	164.1557	217.5631	129.0157	0.9598	0.6236	0.278	0.8055
52	194.8	161.8957	234.5693	119.5604	0.9362	0.9401	0.6254	0.7938
53	204.5	160.3326	253.7462	111.9101	0.9631	0.9185	0.8487	0.7823
54	203.8	159.2453	274.9835	105.6056	0.9482	0.9509	0.9313	0.7715
55	204.8	158.4861	298.2686	100.3187	0.9407	0.9366	0.943	0.7616
56	204.9	157.9544	323.6615	95.8142	0.9307	0.9302	0.8939	0.7526
57	240	157.5814	351.2828	91.921	0.9931	0.9211	0.8951	0.7445
58	248.3	157.3194	381.3078	88.5129	0.9952	0.9907	0.8907	0.7372
59	258.4	157.1351	413.9662	85.4959	0.9972	0.9937	0.8414	0.7306
60	254.9	157.0054	449.5436	82.7984	0.9951	0.9963	0.7247	0.7247

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	-0.0478	-0.0186	0.0016	10.2959	0.858	0.9263
50	-0.0808	0.014	0.0012	5.5229	0.4602	0.6784
51	-0.1092	0.1909	0.0159	982.467	81.8722	9.0483
52	-0.1334	0.2032	0.0169	1082.6948	90.2246	9.4987
53	-0.1541	0.2755	0.023	1950.7636	162.5636	12.75
54	-0.1719	0.2798	0.0233	1985.1216	165.4268	12.8618
55	-0.1873	0.2922	0.0244	2144.9815	178.7485	13.3697
56	-0.2007	0.2972	0.0248	2203.8888	183.6574	13.552
57	-0.2126	0.523	0.0436	6792.8247	566.0687	23.7922
58	-0.2231	0.5783	0.0482	8277.4775	689.7898	26.2638
59	-0.2326	0.6444	0.0537	10254.5842	854.5487	29.2327
60	-0.2411	0.6235	0.052	9583.3515	798.6126	28.2597