Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	1.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	1.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	1.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	1.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	1.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	1.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	1.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	1.62	1.6116	1.5953	1.6279	0.1557	0.5765	0.9999	0.5765
62	1.63	1.6183	1.5921	1.6445	0.1914	0.4503	0.9829	0.7333
63	1.63	1.6244	1.5885	1.6604	0.3811	0.3811	0.9086	0.7845
64	1.66	1.6234	1.5774	1.6694	0.0592	0.3886	0.8403	0.7155
65	1.66	1.6123	1.5579	1.6666	0.0426	0.0426	0.5324	0.5324
66	1.66	1.6085	1.5456	1.6715	0.0546	0.0546	0.4817	0.4817
67	1.65	1.6021	1.5318	1.6724	0.0907	0.0531	0.3087	0.4127
68	1.65	1.5998	1.5222	1.6774	0.1025	0.1025	0.3984	0.3984
69	1.64	1.5872	1.5031	1.6713	0.1093	0.0717	0.3828	0.2977
70	1.64	1.5931	1.5026	1.6836	0.1547	0.1547	0.4405	0.357
71	1.65	1.5982	1.5019	1.6945	0.1457	0.1973	0.4852	0.4049
72	1.64	1.6078	1.5058	1.7097	0.2677	0.2084	0.4828	0.4828

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0051	0.0052	4e-04	1e-04	0	0.0024
62	0.0083	0.0072	6e-04	1e-04	0	0.0034
63	0.0113	0.0034	3e-04	0	0	0.0016
64	0.0145	0.0226	0.0019	0.0013	1e-04	0.0106
65	0.0172	0.0296	0.0025	0.0023	2e-04	0.0138
66	0.02	0.032	0.0027	0.0026	2e-04	0.0149
67	0.0224	0.0299	0.0025	0.0023	2e-04	0.0138
68	0.0248	0.0314	0.0026	0.0025	2e-04	0.0145
69	0.027	0.0333	0.0028	0.0028	2e-04	0.0152
70	0.029	0.0294	0.0025	0.0022	2e-04	0.0135
71	0.0307	0.0324	0.0027	0.0027	2e-04	0.015
72	0.0324	0.0201	0.0017	0.001	1e-04	0.0093