Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
83	132.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	130.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	129	130.5791	133.9508	127.3168	0.8286	0.424	0.424	0.424
86	131.65	130.4363	135.7168	125.4199	0.6823	0.2873	0.2873	0.4725
87	134.21	130.7171	137.2589	124.5748	0.8675	0.617	0.617	0.442
88	138.63	130.8152	138.6101	123.5807	0.9829	0.8211	0.8211	0.4402
89	138.1	130.3074	139.0217	122.2901	0.9716	0.9791	0.9791	0.4954
90	140.51	130.3157	140.094	121.4064	0.9875	0.9566	0.9566	0.4951
91	144.36	130.3276	141.2188	120.5035	0.9974	0.9789	0.9789	0.4946
92	145.57	130.2981	142.157	119.6937	0.9976	0.9953	0.9953	0.4972
93	148.7	130.3761	143.191	119.0129	0.9992	0.9956	0.9956	0.492
94	147.86	130.3017	143.9883	118.2592	0.9979	0.9986	0.9986	0.4973
95	143.16	130.2744	144.7955	117.5908	0.9768	0.9967	0.9967	0.4991
96	141.96	130.2947	145.6513	116.978	0.957	0.9709	0.9709	0.498

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	-0.0127	-0.0121	0.001	2.4934	0.2078	0.4558
86	-0.0196	0.0093	8e-04	1.473	0.1227	0.3504
87	-0.024	0.0267	0.0022	12.2005	1.0167	1.0083
88	-0.0282	0.0597	0.005	61.0713	5.0893	2.2559
89	-0.0314	0.0598	0.005	60.7241	5.0603	2.2495
90	-0.0349	0.0782	0.0065	103.9236	8.6603	2.9428
91	-0.0385	0.1077	0.009	196.908	16.409	4.0508
92	-0.0415	0.1172	0.0098	233.2323	19.436	4.4086
93	-0.0445	0.1405	0.0117	335.7665	27.9805	5.2897
94	-0.0472	0.1348	0.0112	308.2943	25.6912	5.0686
95	-0.0497	0.0989	0.0082	166.0397	13.8366	3.7198
96	-0.0521	0.0895	0.0075	136.0798	11.34	3.3675