Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	107.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	127.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	119.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	130.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	123.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	101.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	128	134.5354	153.2455	120.3612	0.8169	0.0013	0.1585	0.0013
70	129.6	124.5538	140.4628	112.2584	0.7894	0.7086	0.1205	0.0305
71	125.8	122.97	138.575	110.8917	0.677	0.859	0.3035	0.0494
72	119.5	123.5086	141.8676	109.829	0.7171	0.6287	0.1475	0.0625
73	115.7	109.0658	122.8964	98.3592	0.8877	0.9719	0.6384	0.7529
74	113.6	113.1794	128.5776	101.4525	0.528	0.6632	0.4482	0.4747
75	129.7	131.923	155.7824	115.0765	0.602	0.0165	0.4388	0.013
76	112	111.023	126.7259	99.176	0.5642	0.999	0.3752	0.6156
77	116.8	114.5794	131.7943	101.7873	0.6332	0.3463	0.7411	0.3926
78	126.3	129.1572	153.0365	112.4064	0.6309	0.0741	0.2692	0.0278
79	112.9	107.0969	122.1157	95.7422	0.8418	0.9995	0.1713	0.8376
80	115.9	113.9547	131.6793	100.9023	0.6149	0.4371	0.4312	0.4312

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	-0.0538	-0.0486	0.004	42.7113	3.5593	1.8866
70	-0.0504	0.0405	0.0034	25.464	2.122	1.4567
71	-0.0501	0.023	0.0019	8.009	0.6674	0.817
72	-0.0565	-0.0325	0.0027	16.0691	1.3391	1.1572
73	-0.0501	0.0608	0.0051	44.0127	3.6677	1.9151
74	-0.0529	0.0037	3e-04	0.1769	0.0147	0.1214
75	-0.0652	-0.0169	0.0014	4.9417	0.4118	0.6417
76	-0.0544	0.0088	7e-04	0.9545	0.0795	0.282
77	-0.057	0.0194	0.0016	4.9312	0.4109	0.641
78	-0.0662	-0.0221	0.0018	8.1636	0.6803	0.8248
79	-0.0541	0.0542	0.0045	33.6763	2.8064	1.6752
80	-0.0584	0.0171	0.0014	3.784	0.3153	0.5615