| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.0122 | -0.2947 | 0.1709 | -0.6856 | 0.0467 | -0.083 |
| (p-val) | (0.0016 ) | (0.0953 ) | (0.1901 ) | (0.031 ) | (0.7105 ) | (0.5891 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 1.0424 | -0.2944 | 0.1605 | -0.7224 | 0 | -0.0833 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (0.0928 ) | (0.2186 ) | (0.0095 ) | (NA ) | (0.5883 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 1.0445 | -0.2945 | 0.1627 | -0.7405 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0856 ) | (0.2016 ) | (0.0032 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.3553 | 0.203 | 0 | 0.7457 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.3519 ) | (0.3057 ) | (NA ) | (0.0376 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.0819 | 0 | 0.3944 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.483 ) | (NA ) | (0.0014 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3754 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (7e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.100699941426293 |
| -2.59604949885985 |
| -0.365260709822057 |
| 0.47281215113139 |
| -0.0717558779857382 |
| -1.07988170138769 |
| -3.27412076185944 |
| -1.11869757425039 |
| -1.55584368281867 |
| -0.281704589356221 |
| 2.39942989056583 |
| -0.956203391841712 |
| 1.50514699326517 |
| 1.11459581218033 |
| 0.15398225248738 |
| -1.59992913328209 |
| -0.526346336884964 |
| -1.27778484978151 |
| -0.606001300581354 |
| 0.0700058362552056 |
| -1.52934807211243 |
| 2.32770198832259 |
| 4.11302617972075 |
| -0.0612776515390436 |
| -5.07706395001655 |
| -1.83693453475554 |
| -0.990705094253414 |
| -0.706320692928358 |
| -0.949488818279164 |
| 1.28909202718155 |
| 1.60625138426386 |
| -0.698972613793018 |
| -0.888110057614583 |
| 1.25024853171419 |
| 5.58881679683253 |
| -1.87778579534800 |
| 3.84924959498362 |
| 4.94919814077323 |
| 0.0533778024680487 |
| -0.853295197355692 |
| 0.648185811067606 |
| 0.768936749935108 |
| 1.15580858796413 |
| -1.33770591948397 |
| 5.90473235236952 |
| -6.56317267769374 |
| 4.23799159131653 |
| -1.11925845556122 |
| 2.96945185754927 |
| 0.812545248292423 |
| 2.15846624916348 |
| -2.01501292019643 |
| -1.82641509143329 |
| 5.00217645574716 |
| 3.02378692003045 |
| 0.963581884777412 |
| 2.82694529707251 |
| 2.98041368845369 |
| -1.77018254596581 |
| 5.44601590834057 |
| 4.57679181522104 |
| -2.02258001136437 |
| 11.0490342158008 |
| 11.1261587936199 |
| 0.327775118750054 |
| -5.9984643506584 |
| 5.8070962894806 |
| -4.71350922418631 |
| 3.73954428696427 |
| 6.15449115974988 |
| -7.40732256735399 |
| 0.215324216889712 |
| 0.408123439513048 |
| 3.71100211669176 |
| 1.12828463231710 |
| -0.0479372571844578 |
| 0.106007535165389 |
| 0.300874644120540 |
| 0.45677739654073 |
| -3.41289514800530 |
