Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	121.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	125.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	129.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	129.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	134.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	141.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	141.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	152.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	167.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	173.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	168.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	172.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	169.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	172	164.7073	158.8917	170.523	0.007	0.043	1	0.043
70	179.4	165.0211	154.1251	175.9172	0.0048	0.1047	1	0.195
71	174.6	167.1747	152.3378	182.0116	0.1633	0.0532	1	0.3644
72	172.5	164.0576	146.0738	182.0413	0.1788	0.1253	0.9994	0.2657
73	172.6	164.4091	143.2949	185.5234	0.2235	0.2263	0.9844	0.3084
74	176.3	167.4662	143.627	191.3055	0.2338	0.3365	0.9839	0.4239
75	178.9	165.5652	139.4989	191.6314	0.158	0.2098	0.8425	0.3751
76	179.6	165.0809	136.7467	193.4152	0.1576	0.1696	0.4281	0.372
77	179.9	168.3667	137.8821	198.8513	0.2292	0.2351	0.3756	0.4633
78	180.3	166.9024	134.6217	199.183	0.208	0.215	0.4565	0.4302
79	180.9	165.347	131.2469	199.447	0.1857	0.195	0.3384	0.399
80	177.7	168.3406	132.4118	204.2693	0.3048	0.2466	0.4683	0.4683

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.018	0.0443	0.0037	53.1832	4.4319	2.1052
70	0.0337	0.0871	0.0073	206.7517	17.2293	4.1508
71	0.0453	0.0444	0.0037	55.1347	4.5946	2.1435
72	0.0559	0.0515	0.0043	71.2746	5.9395	2.4371
73	0.0655	0.0498	0.0042	67.0902	5.5908	2.3645
74	0.0726	0.0527	0.0044	78.0354	6.503	2.5501
75	0.0803	0.0805	0.0067	177.8181	14.8182	3.8494
76	0.0876	0.088	0.0073	210.8033	17.5669	4.1913
77	0.0924	0.0685	0.0057	133.0176	11.0848	3.3294
78	0.0987	0.0803	0.0067	179.4967	14.9581	3.8676
79	0.1052	0.0941	0.0078	241.8963	20.158	4.4898
80	0.1089	0.0556	0.0046	87.5987	7.2999	2.7018