Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	107.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	127.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	119.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	130.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	123.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	101.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	128	132.3057	122.1949	142.4165	0.202	0.9999	0.8341	0.9999
70	129.6	123.5803	113.3006	133.8601	0.1255	0.1997	0.8881	0.9801
71	125.8	121.9752	111.5828	132.3676	0.2353	0.0752	0.6592	0.9582
72	119.5	123.2813	111.2274	135.3353	0.2693	0.3411	0.8752	0.9558
73	115.7	109.1196	96.8426	121.3966	0.1467	0.0487	0.382	0.2784
74	113.6	113.2032	100.766	125.6404	0.4751	0.347	0.5504	0.5253
75	129.7	130.3085	117.2357	143.3813	0.4637	0.9939	0.4826	0.9957
76	112	111.1424	97.8749	124.41	0.4496	0.0031	0.6186	0.4033
77	116.8	114.8677	101.4515	128.2839	0.3889	0.6624	0.2828	0.6187
78	126.3	128.2551	114.5364	141.9738	0.39	0.9491	0.7331	0.9864
79	112.9	107.531	93.665	121.3971	0.224	0.004	0.7991	0.2282
80	115.9	113.9464	99.9626	127.9302	0.3921	0.5583	0.5638	0.5638

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.039	-0.0325	0.0027	18.5392	1.5449	1.243
70	0.0424	0.0487	0.0041	36.2363	3.0197	1.7377
71	0.0435	0.0314	0.0026	14.629	1.2191	1.1041
72	0.0499	-0.0307	0.0026	14.2985	1.1915	1.0916
73	0.0574	0.0603	0.005	43.3013	3.6084	1.8996
74	0.0561	0.0035	3e-04	0.1574	0.0131	0.1145
75	0.0512	-0.0047	4e-04	0.3703	0.0309	0.1757
76	0.0609	0.0077	6e-04	0.7354	0.0613	0.2476
77	0.0596	0.0168	0.0014	3.7339	0.3112	0.5578
78	0.0546	-0.0152	0.0013	3.8223	0.3185	0.5644
79	0.0658	0.0499	0.0042	28.8258	2.4022	1.5499
80	0.0626	0.0171	0.0014	3.8164	0.318	0.5639