Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	114.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	108.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	112.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	118.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	103.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	116.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	96.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	101.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	116.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	119.3	113.4312	106.4927	120.3696	0.0487	0.193	0.9303	0.193
51	115.4	113.7245	106.7868	120.6622	0.318	0.0576	0.6246	0.2165
52	108.5	109.8731	102.65	117.0961	0.3547	0.0668	0.5831	0.0361
53	111.5	106.2894	98.1552	114.4237	0.1046	0.2971	0.622	0.0069
54	108.8	105.6482	97.4944	113.8019	0.2243	0.0798	0.5619	0.0045
55	121.8	117.1452	108.706	125.5843	0.1398	0.9737	0.3765	0.5596
56	109.6	106.2022	97.4854	114.919	0.2224	2e-04	0.7132	0.0103
57	112.2	109.6808	100.9142	118.4474	0.2866	0.5072	0.2642	0.0637
58	119.6	117.0553	108.1037	126.0069	0.2887	0.8561	0.5397	0.5484
59	103.4	97.2381	88.1704	106.3057	0.0914	0	0.5548	0
60	105.3	101.2428	92.1173	110.3684	0.1918	0.3216	0.4439	5e-04
61	113.5	117.0988	107.8672	126.3304	0.2224	0.9939	0.5506	0.5506

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0312	0.0517	0.0043	34.443	2.8703	1.6942
51	0.0311	0.0147	0.0012	2.8073	0.2339	0.4837
52	0.0335	-0.0125	0.001	1.8853	0.1571	0.3964
53	0.039	0.049	0.0041	27.1502	2.2625	1.5042
54	0.0394	0.0298	0.0025	9.9341	0.8278	0.9099
55	0.0368	0.0397	0.0033	21.6674	1.8056	1.3437
56	0.0419	0.032	0.0027	11.5449	0.9621	0.9809
57	0.0408	0.023	0.0019	6.3464	0.5289	0.7272
58	0.039	0.0217	0.0018	6.4755	0.5396	0.7346
59	0.0476	0.0634	0.0053	37.9693	3.1641	1.7788
60	0.046	0.0401	0.0033	16.4606	1.3717	1.1712
61	0.0402	-0.0307	0.0026	12.9515	1.0793	1.0389