Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	680.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	736.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	637.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	801.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	772.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	897.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	792.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	826.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	666.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	906.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	871.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	891	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	739.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	833.6	766.5201	635.9097	897.1306	0.1571	0.6591	0.6738	0.6591
50	715.6	766.1333	635.3496	896.917	0.2244	0.156	0.9733	0.6568
51	871.6	871.2804	735.347	1007.2138	0.4982	0.9876	0.8414	0.9716
52	751.6	834.17	679.7982	988.5419	0.1472	0.3173	0.7839	0.8861
53	1005.5	934.8611	779.4709	1090.2514	0.1865	0.9896	0.6822	0.9932
54	681.2	830.9877	670.2379	991.7374	0.0339	0.0167	0.6823	0.8685
55	837.3	867.2293	700.0365	1034.4222	0.3628	0.9854	0.6822	0.9333
56	674.7	706.2781	537.4597	875.0965	0.3569	0.0641	0.6766	0.3511
57	806.3	892.7841	720.173	1065.3952	0.163	0.9934	0.4377	0.9594
58	860.2	904.1312	728.4249	1079.8375	0.312	0.8624	0.6425	0.9671
59	689.8	872.7497	695.3822	1050.1173	0.0216	0.5551	0.4201	0.93
60	691.6	759.4098	579.5914	939.2282	0.2299	0.776	0.5872	0.5872

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0869	0.0875	0.0073	4499.7107	374.9759	19.3643
50	0.0871	-0.066	0.0055	2553.6127	212.8011	14.5877
51	0.0796	4e-04	0	0.1022	0.0085	0.0923
52	0.0944	-0.099	0.0082	6817.8101	568.1508	23.8359
53	0.0848	0.0756	0.0063	4989.8486	415.8207	20.3917
54	0.0987	-0.1803	0.015	22436.3405	1869.695	43.24
55	0.0984	-0.0345	0.0029	895.765	74.6471	8.6399
56	0.122	-0.0447	0.0037	997.1768	83.0981	9.1158
57	0.0986	-0.0969	0.0081	7479.4994	623.2916	24.9658
58	0.0992	-0.0486	0.004	1929.9535	160.8295	12.6819
59	0.1037	-0.2096	0.0175	33470.6086	2789.2174	52.813
60	0.1208	-0.0893	0.0074	4598.1689	383.1807	19.575