| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.0277 | -0.369 | 0.2354 | -0.6437 | 0.4722 | 0.5241 | -0.9512 |
| (p-val) | (5e-04 ) | (0.0896 ) | (0.1298 ) | (0.0199 ) | (0.0034 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.0148 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1033 | 0.1398 | 0 | 0.5602 | 0.4611 | 0.5328 | -0.9236 |
| (p-val) | (0.8146 ) | (0.5509 ) | (NA ) | (0.1787 ) | (0.0024 ) | (5e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1019 | 0 | 0.4654 | 0.4567 | 0.5312 | -0.8941 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.5033 ) | (NA ) | (0.002 ) | (0.0034 ) | (5e-04 ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4371 | 0.4698 | 0.5171 | -0.8921 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0011 ) | (0.0037 ) | (9e-04 ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 14.4185717827122 |
| 1905.08294077189 |
| -42.3697729694769 |
| 516.957662167605 |
| 445.920977246939 |
| -423.68717891732 |
| 1263.21378679677 |
| 162.926306550356 |
| 45.8010131564645 |
| -979.774858831754 |
| -75.2960747697593 |
| -654.101703728591 |
| -665.182336462981 |
| 282.469395730669 |
| -427.233125274925 |
| -350.969978218600 |
| 1222.02695742683 |
| -511.516603256168 |
| -847.13710201931 |
| 950.445463205383 |
| 2378.53764025348 |
| 367.839115036776 |
| -1273.85028579492 |
| -751.256386527368 |
| 1365.85176414999 |
| -1090.53783995135 |
| 1552.07455282611 |
| -1518.91829972923 |
| 121.872571263455 |
| 72.7447067676821 |
| 205.153185159493 |
| 766.241103363454 |
| 807.720249711671 |
| -1564.74113104929 |
| 515.752519162284 |
| 849.907913254887 |
| 614.925186250922 |
| 2284.84367574674 |
| -364.661989014408 |
| -44.738161053552 |
| 1926.49592302795 |
| -470.14449796069 |
| -651.160753365166 |
| 1568.11858562715 |
| -729.281161961644 |
| 1448.84838225509 |
| 1463.75529339658 |
| 1383.68157403081 |
| -34.0248421994264 |
| 240.016149910507 |
| 150.932207788956 |
