Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	26451	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	47460	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	50104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	61465	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	53726	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	39477	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	43895	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	31481	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	29896	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	33842	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	39120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	33702	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	25094	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	51442	55267.8897	48041.6017	62494.1777	0.1497	1	0.9829	1
86	45594	50897.4969	43387.4797	58407.514	0.0832	0.4435	0.582	1
87	52518	55958.9065	48044.8486	63872.9645	0.1971	0.9949	0.0863	1
88	48564	50627.4979	42286.259	58968.7368	0.3139	0.3284	0.2333	1
89	41745	43104.3311	34673.2148	51535.4474	0.376	0.1022	0.8005	1
90	49585	43885.3973	35302.2767	52468.518	0.0965	0.6875	0.4991	1
91	32747	36717.6746	28070.2086	45365.1407	0.1841	0.0018	0.8824	0.9958
92	33379	30587.7479	21899.6553	39275.8404	0.2644	0.3131	0.562	0.8924
93	35645	33363.6809	24641.4951	42085.8667	0.3041	0.4986	0.4572	0.9684
94	37034	40239.3847	31503.8166	48974.9528	0.236	0.8487	0.5992	0.9997
95	35681	31867.8814	23122.3069	40613.4558	0.1964	0.1235	0.3405	0.9355
96	20972	22456.1244	13704.9811	31207.2676	0.3698	0.0015	0.2773	0.2773

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0667	-0.0692	0.0058	14637432.221	1219786.0184	1104.4392
86	0.0753	-0.1042	0.0087	28127079.2645	2343923.272	1530.9877
87	0.0722	-0.0615	0.0051	11839837.8667	986653.1556	993.3042
88	0.0841	-0.0408	0.0034	4258023.6291	354835.3024	595.6805
89	0.0998	-0.0315	0.0026	1847781.1042	153981.7587	392.4051
90	0.0998	0.1299	0.0108	32485470.6045	2707122.5504	1645.3336
91	0.1202	-0.1081	0.009	15766257.0609	1313854.7551	1146.235
92	0.1449	0.0913	0.0076	7791088.4695	649257.3725	805.7651
93	0.1334	0.0684	0.0057	5204416.8476	433701.404	658.5601
94	0.1108	-0.0797	0.0066	10274491.2286	856207.6024	925.3149
95	0.14	0.1197	0.01	14539873.8288	1211656.1524	1100.7525
96	0.1988	-0.0661	0.0055	2202625.0887	183552.0907	428.4298