Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[129])
117	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	114.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	118.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
122	116.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
123	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
124	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
125	117.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
126	116.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
127	116.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
128	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
129	110.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
130	118.9	111.278	101.1473	122.4234	0.0901	0.5752	0.3415	0.5752
131	131.8	114.6228	97.4781	134.783	0.0475	0.3388	0.5086	0.6664
132	130.6	115.0585	93.9195	140.9554	0.1197	0.1026	0.4002	0.6435
133	138.3	116.0204	91.8171	146.6037	0.0767	0.1751	0.475	0.6454
134	148.4	116.2503	89.7466	150.581	0.0332	0.104	0.4943	0.6351
135	148.7	120.008	90.7674	158.6684	0.0729	0.075	0.5924	0.6905
136	144.3	122.2778	90.898	164.4905	0.1533	0.1099	0.6565	0.7125
137	152.5	123.86	90.7219	169.1026	0.1074	0.1879	0.6102	0.723
138	162.9	121.4644	87.8375	167.9648	0.0404	0.0954	0.5763	0.6825
139	167.2	118.127	84.4794	165.1761	0.0205	0.0311	0.5287	0.6294
140	166.5	110.6554	78.3699	156.2414	0.0082	0.0075	0.4924	0.5078
141	185.6	110.8932	77.8696	157.9217	9e-04	0.0102	0.5115	0.5115

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
130	0.0511	0.0685	0.0057	58.0948	4.8412	2.2003
131	0.0897	0.1499	0.0125	295.0546	24.5879	4.9586
132	0.1148	0.1351	0.0113	241.5391	20.1283	4.4865
133	0.1345	0.192	0.016	496.3827	41.3652	6.4316
134	0.1507	0.2766	0.023	1033.6018	86.1335	9.2808
135	0.1644	0.2391	0.0199	823.2321	68.6027	8.2827
136	0.1761	0.1801	0.015	484.9786	40.4149	6.3573
137	0.1864	0.2312	0.0193	820.2486	68.354	8.2677
138	0.1953	0.3411	0.0284	1716.9067	143.0756	11.9614
139	0.2032	0.4154	0.0346	2408.1608	200.6801	14.1662
140	0.2102	0.5047	0.0421	3118.6169	259.8847	16.1209
141	0.2164	0.6737	0.0561	5581.1098	465.0925	21.566