| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2064 | 0.3815 | 0.4598 | 0.4398 | 0.1651 | 0.372 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.2718 ) | (0.001 ) | (5e-04 ) | (0.0233 ) | (0.2455 ) | (0.0525 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.3299 | 0.3932 | 0.2535 | 0.149 | 0.3558 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0017 ) | (0.0026 ) | (0.0201 ) | (0.2937 ) | (0.0653 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.3332 | 0.3956 | 0.2345 | 0 | 0.2875 | -0.845 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0016 ) | (0.0027 ) | (0.0303 ) | (NA ) | (0.0867 ) | (2e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.313 | 0.2744 | 0.2465 | 0 | 0 | -0.8882 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0036 ) | (0.0116 ) | (0.0241 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0137 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 21.6288512131751 |
| 6974.18047551552 |
| -2219.97815727393 |
| 3809.00110019753 |
| -4099.66982595372 |
| 639.731703483803 |
| 2960.84190613399 |
| 1522.73638937859 |
| -242.291246635584 |
| 788.240457695642 |
| 154.461340506734 |
| 864.743153317947 |
| 2392.84663589772 |
| 3440.52362362842 |
| 9619.31637072732 |
| 7025.52018731049 |
| -3383.3103204587 |
| 3771.87368380255 |
| -7895.82898009795 |
| -4071.30294223902 |
| -1726.65188076872 |
| 510.865980157082 |
| 1783.63906945105 |
| 905.50631752082 |
| -434.009925175784 |
| -444.902632050644 |
| -2531.03847246293 |
| -4132.52548672587 |
| -2105.98237171878 |
| 6584.56967558252 |
| -104.925343699733 |
| 3430.29297776696 |
| 807.285723886878 |
| -2881.34125782242 |
| 2466.2252483272 |
| 466.513311371683 |
| -264.483650728024 |
| -2789.10978127955 |
| 1144.39849918276 |
| -3505.62623332734 |
| 2889.50118353807 |
| -5590.24828111523 |
| -4523.70247848402 |
| -345.027967172216 |
| -600.98949589701 |
| 3376.40330378249 |
| 63.5873516553276 |
| -2720.45218562597 |
| -725.455307270661 |
| -3816.6525317439 |
| -1177.99237742915 |
| -867.139666881686 |
| -260.259313071564 |
| -3572.80488755889 |
| 576.187448366033 |
| 1019.91112590186 |
| 1634.64531017067 |
| 4716.18447878269 |
| 3237.5564096856 |
| -2084.30967408175 |
| 4693.02487396459 |
| -9292.23725778084 |
| 1156.27420908494 |
| 8655.05286789953 |
| 5068.75553190011 |
| -6378.9274396912 |
| -650.316697925805 |
| -5513.90202116135 |
| 2535.95237438817 |
| 1362.18982935665 |
| 1017.67487452649 |
| 2849.2964103566 |
| 3387.67214971408 |
| -2801.76849388047 |
| -3878.88566513537 |
| -840.902570937031 |
| 1769.62110375093 |
| 1861.41677560313 |
| 6682.45463006182 |
| -5114.83249263579 |
| 1925.23966195238 |
| -172.157018459091 |
| -3604.36065179831 |
| 3148.45209533707 |
| -3067.84882057874 |
