Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[129])
117	120.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	122.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	127.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	135.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
122	137.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
123	135	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
124	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
125	138.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
126	134.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
127	138.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
128	133.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
129	133.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
130	141.2	134.0297	125.4493	143.1969	0.0626	0.5366	0.9949	0.5366
131	151.8	134.0297	120.2644	149.3706	0.0116	0.1798	0.9363	0.5219
132	155.4	134.0297	116.7249	153.8999	0.0175	0.0398	0.7434	0.5169
133	156.6	134.0297	113.9025	157.7135	0.0309	0.0385	0.4614	0.5142
134	161.6	134.0297	111.5077	161.1006	0.023	0.0511	0.4064	0.5124
135	160.7	134.0297	109.405	164.1969	0.0416	0.0366	0.4749	0.5111
136	156	134.0297	107.5179	167.0787	0.0963	0.0569	0.4535	0.5102
137	159.5	134.0297	105.7984	169.7942	0.0814	0.1143	0.4054	0.5094
138	168.7	134.0297	104.2137	172.3761	0.0382	0.0965	0.4863	0.5088
139	169.9	134.0297	102.7406	174.8476	0.0425	0.048	0.4169	0.5082
140	169.9	134.0297	101.3618	177.2261	0.0518	0.0518	0.5023	0.5078
141	185.9	134.0297	100.0639	179.5249	0.0127	0.0611	0.5074	0.5074

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
130	0.0349	0.0535	0.0045	51.4133	4.2844	2.0699
131	0.0584	0.1326	0.011	315.7837	26.3153	5.1298
132	0.0756	0.1594	0.0133	456.6899	38.0575	6.1691
133	0.0902	0.1684	0.014	509.4186	42.4516	6.5155
134	0.103	0.2057	0.0171	760.1216	63.3435	7.9589
135	0.1148	0.199	0.0166	711.3051	59.2754	7.6991
136	0.1258	0.1639	0.0137	482.6942	40.2245	6.3423
137	0.1361	0.19	0.0158	648.7364	54.0614	7.3526
138	0.146	0.2587	0.0216	1202.03	100.1692	10.0085
139	0.1554	0.2676	0.0223	1286.6787	107.2232	10.3549
140	0.1644	0.2676	0.0223	1286.6787	107.2232	10.3549
141	0.1732	0.387	0.0323	2690.5284	224.2107	14.9737