Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[129])
117	129.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	134.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	136.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	143.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	162.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
122	163.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
123	157.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
124	158.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
125	155.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
126	148.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
127	154.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
128	153.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
129	149.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
130	147.9	148.545	135.5524	162.7831	0.4646	0.4532	0.9766	0.4532
131	156	148.545	127.9855	172.4073	0.2702	0.5211	0.8327	0.472
132	163	148.545	122.8707	179.5841	0.1807	0.3189	0.625	0.4785
133	159.1	148.545	118.8284	185.6933	0.2888	0.2228	0.2308	0.482
134	159.5	148.545	115.4255	191.1677	0.3072	0.3137	0.2516	0.4843
135	157.3	148.545	112.4589	196.2107	0.3594	0.3262	0.361	0.486
136	156.4	148.545	109.8137	200.9369	0.3844	0.3716	0.3506	0.4872
137	156.6	148.545	107.4179	205.4186	0.3907	0.3933	0.4066	0.4882
138	162.4	148.545	105.2224	209.7047	0.3285	0.3981	0.5006	0.4891
139	166.8	148.545	103.1923	213.8302	0.2918	0.3387	0.4326	0.4898
140	162.6	148.545	101.3016	217.8211	0.3454	0.3028	0.4465	0.4904
141	168.1	148.545	99.5305	221.6972	0.3002	0.3532	0.4909	0.4909

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
130	0.0489	-0.0043	4e-04	0.4161	0.0347	0.1862
131	0.082	0.0502	0.0042	55.5763	4.6314	2.1521
132	0.1066	0.0973	0.0081	208.9457	17.4121	4.1728
133	0.1276	0.0711	0.0059	111.407	9.2839	3.047
134	0.1464	0.0737	0.0061	120.011	10.0009	3.1624
135	0.1637	0.0589	0.0049	76.6492	6.3874	2.5273
136	0.1799	0.0529	0.0044	61.7003	5.1417	2.2675
137	0.1953	0.0542	0.0045	64.8823	5.4069	2.3253
138	0.2101	0.0933	0.0078	191.9597	15.9966	3.9996
139	0.2242	0.1229	0.0102	333.2433	27.7703	5.2698
140	0.2379	0.0946	0.0079	197.5417	16.4618	4.0573
141	0.2513	0.1316	0.011	382.3962	31.8663	5.645