Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	0.8924	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.8833	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.8758	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.8858	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.917	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.9554	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.9922	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.9778	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.9808	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	0.9811	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.0014	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.0183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.0622	1.0979	1.0716	1.1248	0.0047	1	1	1
50	1.0773	1.0891	1.0522	1.1273	0.2725	0.9161	1	0.9999
51	1.0807	1.1025	1.0474	1.1605	0.231	0.8024	1	0.9978
52	1.0848	1.099	1.0332	1.1689	0.3458	0.6956	1	0.9881
53	1.1582	1.0669	0.9918	1.1477	0.0134	0.3321	0.9999	0.8809
54	1.1663	1.1095	1.024	1.2022	0.1148	0.1515	0.9994	0.9731
55	1.1372	1.1252	1.031	1.228	0.4096	0.2167	0.9944	0.9792
56	1.1139	1.1642	1.0609	1.2775	0.1922	0.6797	0.9994	0.9942
57	1.1222	1.1717	1.0611	1.2939	0.2135	0.8232	0.9989	0.9931
58	1.1692	1.1847	1.0659	1.3167	0.4091	0.8232	0.9987	0.9933
59	1.1702	1.1937	1.0651	1.338	0.3745	0.6306	0.9955	0.9914
60	1.2286	1.2732	1.1247	1.4412	0.3016	0.8851	0.9985	0.9985

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0125	-0.0325	0.0027	0.0013	1e-04	0.0103
50	0.0179	-0.0108	9e-04	1e-04	0	0.0034
51	0.0268	-0.0197	0.0016	5e-04	0	0.0063
52	0.0325	-0.0129	0.0011	2e-04	0	0.0041
53	0.0386	0.0856	0.0071	0.0083	7e-04	0.0264
54	0.0426	0.0512	0.0043	0.0032	3e-04	0.0164
55	0.0466	0.0107	9e-04	1e-04	0	0.0035
56	0.0497	-0.0432	0.0036	0.0025	2e-04	0.0145
57	0.0532	-0.0423	0.0035	0.0025	2e-04	0.0143
58	0.0568	-0.0131	0.0011	2e-04	0	0.0045
59	0.0616	-0.0197	0.0016	6e-04	0	0.0068
60	0.0674	-0.035	0.0029	0.002	2e-04	0.0129