Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	0.8924	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.8833	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.8758	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.8858	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.917	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.9554	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.9922	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.9778	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.9808	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	0.9811	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.0014	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.0183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.0622	1.0963	1.0719	1.1207	0.0031	1	1	1
50	1.0773	1.0708	1.0339	1.1078	0.3655	0.6763	1	0.9973
51	1.0807	1.0802	1.0231	1.1373	0.4931	0.5397	1	0.9832
52	1.0848	1.0573	0.9841	1.1305	0.2306	0.2653	1	0.8518
53	1.1582	1.0254	0.9287	1.1221	0.0036	0.1144	0.986	0.5574
54	1.1663	1.0386	0.9214	1.1559	0.0164	0.0228	0.9179	0.633
55	1.1372	1.0483	0.9049	1.1917	0.1122	0.0534	0.7783	0.6591
56	1.1139	1.0714	0.9044	1.2385	0.3091	0.2202	0.864	0.7334
57	1.1222	1.085	0.8894	1.2806	0.3546	0.386	0.8518	0.748
58	1.1692	1.0923	0.8702	1.3144	0.2487	0.3959	0.8367	0.7431
59	1.1702	1.1026	0.8497	1.3554	0.3	0.3028	0.7835	0.7432
60	1.2286	1.1486	0.8668	1.4305	0.2891	0.4404	0.8176	0.8176

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0114	-0.0311	0.0026	0.0012	1e-04	0.0099
50	0.0176	0.0061	5e-04	0	0	0.0019
51	0.027	5e-04	0	0	0	1e-04
52	0.0353	0.026	0.0022	8e-04	1e-04	0.0079
53	0.0481	0.1295	0.0108	0.0176	0.0015	0.0383
54	0.0576	0.1229	0.0102	0.0163	0.0014	0.0369
55	0.0698	0.0848	0.0071	0.0079	7e-04	0.0257
56	0.0796	0.0396	0.0033	0.0018	2e-04	0.0123
57	0.092	0.0343	0.0029	0.0014	1e-04	0.0107
58	0.1038	0.0704	0.0059	0.0059	5e-04	0.0222
59	0.117	0.0613	0.0051	0.0046	4e-04	0.0195
60	0.1252	0.0696	0.0058	0.0064	5e-04	0.0231