Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[69])
68	128.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	144.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	153	138.2633	114.2733	167.2896	0.1598	0.3418	0.3418	0.3418
71	149.9	140.8173	112.5599	176.1685	0.3073	0.2497	0.2497	0.4234
72	150.9	140.8807	108.072	183.6496	0.3231	0.3397	0.3397	0.4377
73	141	141.6056	105.0302	190.9181	0.4904	0.3559	0.3559	0.4574
74	138.9	142.17	102.1635	197.8426	0.4542	0.5164	0.5164	0.4701
75	157.4	142.7757	99.6211	204.6243	0.3215	0.5489	0.5489	0.4807
76	142.9	143.3749	97.2854	211.2994	0.4945	0.3428	0.3428	0.4894
77	151.7	143.9787	95.126	217.9201	0.4189	0.5114	0.5114	0.4966
78	161	144.5845	93.1096	224.5171	0.3437	0.4307	0.4307	0.5028
79	138.6	145.1931	91.2142	231.1156	0.4402	0.3592	0.3592	0.5081
80	136	145.8041	89.4224	237.735	0.4172	0.561	0.561	0.5128
81	151.9	146.4178	87.7206	244.3914	0.4563	0.5825	0.5825	0.5169

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
70	0.1071	0.1066	0.0089	217.1712	18.0976	4.2541
71	0.1281	0.0645	0.0054	82.4959	6.8747	2.622
72	0.1549	0.0711	0.0059	100.3859	8.3655	2.8923
73	0.1777	-0.0043	4e-04	0.3668	0.0306	0.1748
74	0.1998	-0.023	0.0019	10.6927	0.8911	0.944
75	0.221	0.1024	0.0085	213.8709	17.8226	4.2217
76	0.2417	-0.0033	3e-04	0.2255	0.0188	0.1371
77	0.262	0.0536	0.0045	59.6189	4.9682	2.229
78	0.2821	0.1135	0.0095	269.4674	22.4556	4.7387
79	0.3019	-0.0454	0.0038	43.4684	3.6224	1.9033
80	0.3217	-0.0672	0.0056	96.1207	8.0101	2.8302
81	0.3414	0.0374	0.0031	30.0551	2.5046	1.5826