Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	15548	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	28029	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	29383	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	36438	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	32034	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	22679	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	24319	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	18004	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	17537	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	20366	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	22782	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	19169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	13807	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	29743	32964.7378	75382.185	23045.1972	0.7378	1e-04	0.1647	1e-04
50	25591	30337.651	59720.6241	21833.2049	0.863	0.4455	0.4129	1e-04
51	29096	33461.837	88867.1405	22877.4005	0.7906	0.0725	0.7092	1e-04
52	26482	29291.214	57102.2411	21125.9178	0.7499	0.4813	0.7449	1e-04
53	22405	22967.0887	33843.2178	18002.8065	0.5878	0.9174	0.4547	1e-04
54	27044	24217.173	37346.3259	18665.5501	0.8409	0.2612	0.5143	1e-04
55	17970	20118.601	27146.0912	16373.8598	0.8696	0.9999	0.1342	5e-04
56	18730	17863.8783	22722.0386	14975.0233	0.7216	0.5287	0.4122	0.003
57	19684	20655.8659	28306.4965	16691.5081	0.6846	0.1705	0.443	4e-04
58	19785	24206.4941	37329.8789	18657.3155	0.9408	0.0551	0.3074	1e-04
59	18479	18274.795	23481.9493	15237.4406	0.5524	0.8351	0.718	0.002
60	10698	14468.7773	17087.2067	12666.7587	1	1	0.2358	0.2358

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	-0.1535	-0.0977	0.0081	10379594.1848	864966.1821	930.0356
50	-0.143	-0.1565	0.013	22530695.4711	1877557.9559	1370.2401
51	-0.1614	-0.1305	0.0109	19060532.9462	1588377.7455	1260.3086
52	-0.1422	-0.0959	0.008	7891683.3186	657640.2765	810.9502
53	-0.1103	-0.0245	0.002	315943.7344	26328.6445	162.261
54	-0.117	0.1167	0.0097	7990950.8788	665912.5732	816.0347
55	-0.095	-0.1068	0.0089	4616486.216	384707.1847	620.2477
56	-0.0825	0.0485	0.004	750166.8062	62513.9005	250.0278
57	-0.0979	-0.0471	0.0039	944523.3738	78710.2811	280.5535
58	-0.117	-0.1827	0.0152	19549610.0966	1629134.1747	1276.3754
59	-0.0848	0.0112	9e-04	41699.6894	3474.9741	58.9489
60	-0.0635	-0.2606	0.0217	14218761.373	1184896.7811	1088.5296