Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	100.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	99.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	101.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	101.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	101.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	102	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	102.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	102.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	102.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	102.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	102.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	102.6	103.2335	102.0738	104.3932	0.1422	0.8164	1	0.8164
70	102.6	103.9451	102.6097	105.2804	0.0242	0.9758	0.9997	0.9662
71	102.5	104.2093	102.7189	105.6998	0.0123	0.9828	0.9995	0.9764
72	102.5	104.1988	102.5679	105.8296	0.0206	0.9794	0.9971	0.9642
73	102.1	102.6802	100.9203	104.4401	0.2591	0.5795	0.9986	0.4912
74	103.5	103.3967	101.5168	105.2766	0.4571	0.9118	0.9273	0.7662
75	103.2	103.5701	101.5774	105.5628	0.3579	0.5275	0.9387	0.804
76	102.1	104.1795	102.0801	106.279	0.0261	0.8198	0.8839	0.9164
77	103.8	103.8537	101.6526	106.0547	0.4809	0.9408	0.8479	0.8479
78	104	103.6357	101.3375	105.9338	0.378	0.4443	0.7876	0.7876
79	103.9	103.7421	101.3508	106.1334	0.4485	0.4163	0.8035	0.8035
80	104.1	103.9362	101.4552	106.4171	0.4485	0.5114	0.8356	0.8356

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0057	-0.0061	5e-04	0.4013	0.0334	0.1829
70	0.0066	-0.0129	0.0011	1.8092	0.1508	0.3883
71	0.0073	-0.0164	0.0014	2.9219	0.2435	0.4934
72	0.008	-0.0163	0.0014	2.8858	0.2405	0.4904
73	0.0087	-0.0057	5e-04	0.3366	0.0281	0.1675
74	0.0093	0.001	1e-04	0.0107	9e-04	0.0298
75	0.0098	-0.0036	3e-04	0.137	0.0114	0.1068
76	0.0103	-0.02	0.0017	4.3245	0.3604	0.6003
77	0.0108	-5e-04	0	0.0029	2e-04	0.0155
78	0.0113	0.0035	3e-04	0.1327	0.0111	0.1052
79	0.0118	0.0015	1e-04	0.0249	0.0021	0.0456
80	0.0122	0.0016	1e-04	0.0268	0.0022	0.0473