Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	110.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	100.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	103.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	108.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	95.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	96.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	103.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	101.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	100.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	99.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	97.4	103.1538	111.2769	96.2766	0.9495	0.1489	0.2512	0.1489
70	105.6	103.3694	111.602	96.4115	0.7351	0.0463	0.5483	0.1379
71	117.5	106.2584	115.2295	98.7463	0.9983	0.4318	0.9975	0.0389
72	107.4	107.5665	118.882	98.4558	0.5143	0.9837	0.5712	0.0413
73	97.8	95.5929	104.19	88.4697	0.7282	0.9994	0.4898	0.8588
74	91.5	94.3682	102.9031	87.3032	0.7869	0.8295	0.7588	0.9227
75	107.7	106.9284	119.4943	97.0369	0.5608	0.0011	0.2742	0.0705
76	100.1	96.0877	105.8985	88.1431	0.8389	0.9979	0.8919	0.8001
77	96.6	96.5488	106.7053	88.3714	0.5049	0.8027	0.8342	0.7603
78	106.8	104.7221	117.6701	94.6417	0.6569	0.0571	0.4673	0.155
79	98	94.8343	105.1237	86.6003	0.7744	0.9978	0.7744	0.8666
80	98.6	92.3862	102.2224	84.4853	0.9384	0.9181	0.9612	0.9612

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	-0.034	-0.0558	0.0046	33.1064	2.7589	1.661
70	-0.0343	0.0216	0.0018	4.9757	0.4146	0.6439
71	-0.0361	0.1058	0.0088	126.373	10.5311	3.2452
72	-0.0432	-0.0015	1e-04	0.0277	0.0023	0.0481
73	-0.038	0.0231	0.0019	4.8711	0.4059	0.6371
74	-0.0382	-0.0304	0.0025	8.2264	0.6855	0.828
75	-0.0472	0.0072	6e-04	0.5954	0.0496	0.2228
76	-0.0422	0.0418	0.0035	16.0985	1.3415	1.1582
77	-0.0432	5e-04	0	0.0026	2e-04	0.0148
78	-0.0491	0.0198	0.0017	4.3178	0.3598	0.5998
79	-0.0443	0.0334	0.0028	10.0215	0.8351	0.9138
80	-0.0436	0.0673	0.0056	38.6113	3.2176	1.7938