Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	640.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	773.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	795.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	836.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	876.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	851.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	692.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	877.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	536.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	705.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	951	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	755.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	695.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	744.8	732.3294	496.7158	967.943	0.4587	0.6203	0.3647	0.6203
50	672.1	773.6377	529.6694	1017.6059	0.2073	0.5916	0.429	0.7349
51	666.6	790.6639	520.2705	1061.0574	0.1842	0.8049	0.3704	0.7548
52	760.8	700.6351	405.6007	995.6695	0.3447	0.5894	0.1219	0.5136
53	756	747.3557	436.7554	1057.9561	0.4782	0.4662	0.2551	0.6283
54	604.4	698.3397	370.2651	1026.4142	0.2873	0.3652	0.5142	0.5068
55	883.9	772.6787	429.8601	1115.4974	0.2624	0.832	0.2749	0.6705
56	527.9	519.3777	163.35	875.4054	0.4813	0.0224	0.4618	0.1661
57	756.2	628.7073	260.2918	997.1227	0.2488	0.7041	0.3407	0.3612
58	812.9	779.3927	399.8164	1158.969	0.4313	0.5477	0.1878	0.6676
59	655.6	692.3521	302.4732	1082.231	0.4267	0.2723	0.3751	0.4937
60	707.6	595.2213	195.8305	994.612	0.2906	0.3835	0.3113	0.3113

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1641	0.017	0.0014	155.5148	12.9596	3.5999
50	0.1609	-0.1312	0.0109	10309.8987	859.1582	29.3114
51	0.1745	-0.1569	0.0131	15391.8584	1282.6549	35.8142
52	0.2148	0.0859	0.0072	3619.8195	301.6516	17.3681
53	0.212	0.0116	0.001	74.7234	6.2269	2.4954
54	0.2397	-0.1345	0.0112	8824.6611	735.3884	27.118
55	0.2264	0.1439	0.012	12370.1686	1030.8474	32.1068
56	0.3497	0.0164	0.0014	72.6291	6.0524	2.4602
57	0.299	0.2028	0.0169	16254.3975	1354.5331	36.804
58	0.2485	0.043	0.0036	1122.7398	93.5616	9.6727
59	0.2873	-0.0531	0.0044	1350.7186	112.5599	10.6094
60	0.3423	0.1888	0.0157	12628.9825	1052.4152	32.4409