Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[42])
30	122.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	119.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	122.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	123.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	123.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	121.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	129.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	130.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	130.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	129.6	132.4817	128.7532	136.3182	0.0705	0.8049	1	0.8049
44	129.6	135.5462	129.1651	142.2424	0.0409	0.9591	0.9999	0.9176
45	134.7	136.2868	128.201	144.8826	0.3587	0.9363	0.9985	0.8945
46	131	136.0867	126.86	145.9844	0.1569	0.6082	0.9929	0.8524
47	126.9	134.1735	124.1946	144.9541	0.093	0.718	0.9883	0.7302
48	130.4	133.891	123.1995	145.5102	0.278	0.8809	0.9852	0.699
49	130.4	134.6868	123.2994	147.1259	0.2497	0.7503	0.9845	0.7299
50	131.6	135.8726	123.8326	149.0833	0.2631	0.7916	0.9863	0.7742
51	131.6	135.3752	122.8992	149.1177	0.2951	0.7049	0.9798	0.743
52	131.6	143.1553	129.5164	158.2304	0.0665	0.9335	0.9631	0.9459
53	131.6	143.2981	129.2512	158.8717	0.0705	0.9295	0.9421	0.9421
54	128.8	139.466	125.4538	155.0432	0.0898	0.8388	0.8622	0.8622

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
43	0.0148	-0.0218	0.0018	8.3041	0.692	0.8319
44	0.0252	-0.0439	0.0037	35.3568	2.9464	1.7165
45	0.0322	-0.0116	0.001	2.518	0.2098	0.4581
46	0.0371	-0.0374	0.0031	25.8743	2.1562	1.4684
47	0.041	-0.0542	0.0045	52.9031	4.4086	2.0997
48	0.0443	-0.0261	0.0022	12.187	1.0156	1.0078
49	0.0471	-0.0318	0.0027	18.3766	1.5314	1.2375
50	0.0496	-0.0314	0.0026	18.2553	1.5213	1.2334
51	0.0518	-0.0279	0.0023	14.2523	1.1877	1.0898
52	0.0537	-0.0807	0.0067	133.5244	11.127	3.3357
53	0.0554	-0.0816	0.0068	136.8465	11.4039	3.377
54	0.057	-0.0765	0.0064	113.7641	9.4803	3.079