Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	767	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	902.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	891.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	874	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	930.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	944.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	935.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	937.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	885.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	892.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	987.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	946.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	799.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	875.4	870.5629	707.5521	1033.5738	0.4768	0.8032	0.3518	0.8032
50	846.2	851.4231	671.8186	1031.0276	0.4773	0.3968	0.3293	0.7141
51	880.6	894.3556	679.8375	1108.8736	0.45	0.67	0.5738	0.8067
52	885.7	869.2142	623.7315	1114.6969	0.4476	0.4638	0.3112	0.7108
53	868.9	893.8536	633.3709	1154.3363	0.4255	0.5245	0.3524	0.7609
54	882.5	874.6828	590.5276	1158.8379	0.4785	0.5159	0.3364	0.6977
55	789.6	833.9841	532.8068	1135.1614	0.3864	0.3761	0.2511	0.5885
56	773.3	828.3465	513.1653	1143.5277	0.3661	0.5952	0.3621	0.5709
57	804.3	821.0392	489.5508	1152.5275	0.4606	0.6111	0.3365	0.5504
58	817.8	887.1895	543.3933	1230.9857	0.3462	0.6817	0.2841	0.6912
59	836.7	879.4032	523.558	1235.2484	0.407	0.6328	0.3563	0.6699
60	721.8	796.0574	428.3345	1163.7802	0.3461	0.4142	0.4925	0.4925

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0955	0.0056	5e-04	23.3971	1.9498	1.3963
50	0.1076	-0.0061	5e-04	27.2808	2.2734	1.5078
51	0.1224	-0.0154	0.0013	189.2159	15.768	3.9709
52	0.1441	0.019	0.0016	271.781	22.6484	4.759
53	0.1487	-0.0279	0.0023	622.6832	51.8903	7.2035
54	0.1657	0.0089	7e-04	61.1092	5.0924	2.2566
55	0.1843	-0.0532	0.0044	1969.9501	164.1625	12.8126
56	0.1941	-0.0665	0.0055	3030.1169	252.5097	15.8906
57	0.206	-0.0204	0.0017	280.1992	23.3499	4.8322
58	0.1977	-0.0782	0.0065	4814.9043	401.242	20.031
59	0.2065	-0.0486	0.004	1823.5648	151.9637	12.3274
60	0.2357	-0.0933	0.0078	5514.155	459.5129	21.4363