Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[81])
69	115.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	115.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	110.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	119.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	126.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	127.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	131.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	140.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	137.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	143	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	134.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	139.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	159.3	142.8308	134.4384	151.2232	1e-04	0.7532	1	0.7532
83	170.4	142.4135	129.0997	155.7273	0	0.0065	1	0.6443
84	175	142.2069	125.3522	159.0616	1e-04	5e-04	0.9988	0.6058
85	175.8	142.5894	122.8181	162.3608	5e-04	7e-04	0.9898	0.6051
86	180.9	142.9408	120.6309	165.2507	4e-04	0.0019	0.9257	0.6053
87	180.3	140.8819	116.2942	165.4697	8e-04	7e-04	0.8515	0.5312
88	169.6	142.617	115.9453	169.2888	0.0237	0.0028	0.7972	0.5791
89	172.3	142.7565	114.1522	171.3608	0.0215	0.0329	0.5668	0.5776
90	184.8	141.992	111.5777	172.4063	0.0029	0.0254	0.6188	0.5536
91	177.7	140.6018	108.4793	172.7244	0.0118	0.0035	0.4418	0.5171
92	184.6	141.8246	108.0802	175.5689	0.0065	0.0186	0.6647	0.5445
93	211.4	141.7581	106.4664	177.0499	1e-04	0.0087	0.5411	0.5411

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
82	0.03	0.1153	0.0096	271.235	22.6029	4.7543
83	0.0477	0.1965	0.0164	783.2426	65.2702	8.079
84	0.0605	0.2306	0.0192	1075.3866	89.6156	9.4665
85	0.0707	0.2329	0.0194	1102.9429	91.9119	9.5871
86	0.0796	0.2656	0.0221	1440.8996	120.075	10.9579
87	0.089	0.2798	0.0233	1553.7841	129.482	11.379
88	0.0954	0.1892	0.0158	728.0806	60.6734	7.7893
89	0.1022	0.207	0.0172	872.817	72.7347	8.5285
90	0.1093	0.3015	0.0251	1832.5255	152.7105	12.3576
91	0.1166	0.2639	0.022	1376.2733	114.6894	10.7093
92	0.1214	0.3016	0.0251	1829.7373	152.4781	12.3482
93	0.127	0.4913	0.0409	4849.9897	404.1658	20.1039