Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[81])
69	129.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	134.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	136.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	143.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	162.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	163.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	157.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	158.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	155.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	148.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	154.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	153.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	149.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	147.9	149.871	140.284	159.4579	0.3435	0.5384	0.9994	0.5384
83	156	149.6409	134.1391	165.1426	0.2107	0.5871	0.9478	0.5121
84	163	149.7533	130.795	168.7116	0.0854	0.2592	0.741	0.5146
85	159.1	149.6984	127.5075	171.8893	0.2032	0.12	0.1291	0.5105
86	159.5	149.7252	124.8542	174.5962	0.2206	0.23	0.1459	0.5102
87	157.3	149.7121	122.3618	177.0624	0.2933	0.2415	0.2958	0.5089
88	156.4	149.7185	120.1234	179.3136	0.3291	0.3078	0.2738	0.5084
89	156.6	149.7154	118.0215	181.4093	0.3351	0.3397	0.3626	0.5078
90	162.4	149.7169	116.0606	183.3732	0.2301	0.3443	0.5282	0.5074
91	166.8	149.7161	114.2031	185.2292	0.1729	0.242	0.4023	0.507
92	162.6	149.7165	112.4403	186.9927	0.2491	0.1845	0.4253	0.5066
93	168.1	149.7163	110.7561	188.6766	0.1775	0.2584	0.5063	0.5063

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
82	0.0326	-0.0132	0.0011	3.8848	0.3237	0.569
83	0.0529	0.0425	0.0035	40.4386	3.3699	1.8357
84	0.0646	0.0885	0.0074	175.4752	14.6229	3.824
85	0.0756	0.0628	0.0052	88.3908	7.3659	2.714
86	0.0848	0.0653	0.0054	95.5467	7.9622	2.8217
87	0.0932	0.0507	0.0042	57.5764	4.798	2.1904
88	0.1009	0.0446	0.0037	44.6425	3.7202	1.9288
89	0.108	0.046	0.0038	47.3982	3.9498	1.9874
90	0.1147	0.0847	0.0071	160.8612	13.4051	3.6613
91	0.121	0.1141	0.0095	291.858	24.3215	4.9317
92	0.127	0.0861	0.0072	165.9842	13.832	3.7191
93	0.1328	0.1228	0.0102	337.9592	28.1633	5.3069