Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	112.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	113.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	110.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	111.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	113.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	108.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	104.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	106	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	110.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	118.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	121.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	128.8	122.925	116.4738	129.7335	0.0454	0.6697	0.996	0.6697
50	131.7	124.0867	113.5481	135.6033	0.0975	0.2112	0.9182	0.6763
51	141.7	125.1647	111.22	140.8579	0.0195	0.2072	0.9683	0.6809
52	142.9	126.2288	109.2515	145.8442	0.0479	0.0611	0.9321	0.6853
53	139.4	127.2961	107.5006	150.7367	0.1558	0.096	0.8774	0.689
54	134.7	128.3709	105.8857	155.6311	0.3245	0.2139	0.9265	0.6919
55	125	129.4545	104.3587	160.5854	0.3896	0.3706	0.9397	0.694
56	113.6	130.5472	102.8903	165.6383	0.1719	0.6217	0.9148	0.6953
57	111.5	131.649	101.4617	170.8179	0.1567	0.8168	0.8504	0.696
58	108.5	132.7602	100.0603	176.1465	0.1365	0.8316	0.7888	0.6961
59	112.3	133.8807	98.6776	181.6425	0.1879	0.8512	0.7374	0.6957
60	116.6	135.0107	97.3076	187.3223	0.2452	0.8026	0.695	0.695

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0283	0.0478	0.004	34.5157	2.8763	1.696
50	0.0474	0.0614	0.0051	57.9628	4.8302	2.1978
51	0.064	0.1321	0.011	273.4148	22.7846	4.7733
52	0.0793	0.1321	0.011	277.9298	23.1608	4.8126
53	0.094	0.0951	0.0079	146.5054	12.2088	3.4941
54	0.1083	0.0493	0.0041	40.0571	3.3381	1.827
55	0.1227	-0.0344	0.0029	19.8428	1.6536	1.2859
56	0.1371	-0.1298	0.0108	287.2071	23.9339	4.8922
57	0.1518	-0.1531	0.0128	405.9839	33.832	5.8165
58	0.1667	-0.1827	0.0152	588.557	49.0464	7.0033
59	0.182	-0.1612	0.0134	465.7276	38.8106	6.2298
60	0.1977	-0.1364	0.0114	338.9541	28.2462	5.3147