Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
36-18-------
37-13-------
38-2-------
39-1-------
405-------
418-------
426-------
437-------
4415-------
4523-------
4643-------
4760-------
4836-------
492836.266518.49754.03590.18090.511710.5117
502342.506417.417867.5950.06380.87150.99970.6944
512342.683611.973373.39390.10450.89550.99730.6652
522246.640211.188782.09170.08660.90440.98930.7218
532247.15397.524586.78340.10670.89330.97360.7094
542448.32254.915391.72960.1360.88270.9720.711
553247.18020.298894.06150.26280.83380.95350.6799
562752.08361.9682102.19890.16330.78390.92650.7353
572755.4552.3021108.60790.1470.8530.88430.7634
582765.91689.8908121.94290.08670.91330.78860.8524
592974.988316.2294133.74710.06250.94530.69140.9033
603860.5803-0.7897121.95040.23540.84340.78380.7838


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.25-0.22790.01968.33455.69452.3863
500.3011-0.45890.0382380.498931.70825.631
510.3671-0.46120.0384387.444932.28715.6822
520.3878-0.52830.044607.139850.5957.113
530.4288-0.53340.0445632.721152.72687.2613
540.4583-0.50330.0419591.581949.29857.0213
550.507-0.32170.0268230.43719.20314.3821
560.4909-0.48160.0401629.185252.43217.241
570.489-0.51310.0428809.68767.47398.2143
580.4336-0.59040.04921514.521126.210111.2343
590.3998-0.61330.05112114.9195176.243313.2757
600.5169-0.37270.0311509.872142.48936.5184