Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[36])
24-100-------
25-672-------
26521-------
27-31-------
28992-------
291750-------
3031-------
31240-------
321188-------
331070-------
34120-------
35491-------
361412-------
371577625.8712-816.53932068.28170.09810.14270.96110.1427
38565528.9461-1008.29742066.18970.48170.09070.5040.1301
39813755.3059-812.48232323.09410.47130.5940.83720.2058
40-32314.2849-1263.62281892.19260.33350.26780.19990.0864
41-4151110.6731-470.61662691.96280.02930.92170.21410.3544
42-20751.8863-830.53692334.30960.16950.92580.8140.2068
43473186.1274-1396.67611768.93090.36120.60070.47340.0645
44-214581.3602-1001.57092164.29130.16240.55340.22630.1519
45-204606.2133-976.76072189.18720.15790.84510.28290.1592
46568528.1031-1054.88522111.09150.48030.81770.69330.1369
47-319630.2892-952.7042213.28230.11990.53070.56850.1666
48-1086611.9178-971.0772194.91260.01780.87550.16090.1609


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
371.17581.51970.1266904645.952975387.1627274.5672
381.48280.06820.00571299.8809108.323410.4079
391.0590.07640.00643328.6069277.383916.6548
402.5615-1.10180.0918119913.21029992.767599.9638
410.7264-1.37360.11452327678.4756193973.2063440.4239
421.0738-1.02660.0855595808.498249650.7082222.8244
434.33871.54130.128482295.88986857.990882.813
441.3892-1.36810.114632597.875952716.4897229.6007
451.3323-1.33650.1114656445.582854703.7986233.8884
461.52930.07550.00631591.7595132.646611.5172
471.2814-1.50610.1255901149.92675095.8272274.0362
481.3199-2.77470.23122882924.8248240243.7354490.1466