Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[129])
117	120.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	122.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	127.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
121	135.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
122	137.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
123	135	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
124	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
125	138.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
126	134.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
127	138.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
128	133.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
129	133.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
130	141.2	134.777	126.297	143.8263	0.0821	0.6006	0.9972	0.6006
131	151.8	134.127	120.7852	148.9426	0.0097	0.1747	0.9442	0.5278
132	155.4	134.6115	117.4104	154.3327	0.0194	0.0438	0.7632	0.54
133	156.6	136.1678	115.2119	160.9354	0.0529	0.064	0.5305	0.5805
134	161.6	135.8961	111.9714	164.9329	0.0414	0.0811	0.4623	0.5616
135	160.7	135.0626	108.6536	167.8904	0.0629	0.0565	0.5015	0.5348
136	156	135.7997	106.8759	172.5511	0.1407	0.0921	0.4957	0.5467
137	159.5	135.6502	104.6246	175.8762	0.1226	0.1607	0.4467	0.5398
138	168.7	134.8192	102.0461	178.1179	0.0626	0.1319	0.5022	0.522
139	169.9	135.1187	100.483	181.693	0.0716	0.0788	0.4451	0.5255
140	169.9	134.4641	98.3428	183.8528	0.0798	0.0798	0.5089	0.5137
141	185.9	134.7723	97.0193	187.216	0.028	0.0946	0.5175	0.5175

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
130	0.0343	0.0477	0.004	41.2553	3.4379	1.8542
131	0.0564	0.1318	0.011	312.3339	26.0278	5.1017
132	0.0747	0.1544	0.0129	432.1616	36.0135	6.0011
133	0.0928	0.1501	0.0125	417.4742	34.7895	5.8983
134	0.109	0.1891	0.0158	660.6891	55.0574	7.4201
135	0.124	0.1898	0.0158	657.2785	54.7732	7.4009
136	0.1381	0.1488	0.0124	408.0533	34.0044	5.8313
137	0.1513	0.1758	0.0147	568.8118	47.401	6.8848
138	0.1639	0.2513	0.0209	1147.9059	95.6588	9.7805
139	0.1759	0.2574	0.0215	1209.7402	100.8117	10.0405
140	0.1874	0.2635	0.022	1255.7044	104.642	10.2295
141	0.1985	0.3794	0.0316	2614.0415	217.8368	14.7593