Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[132])
120337-------
121360-------
122342-------
123406-------
124396-------
125420-------
126472-------
127548-------
128559-------
129463-------
130407-------
131362-------
132405-------
133417415.7331386.3633447.33550.46870.74720.99970.7472
134391391.5025359.3557426.5250.48880.07680.99720.225
135419455.1064413.3114501.12780.06210.99680.98180.9836
136461440.2625396.0801489.37340.20390.80190.96130.9203
137472462.6677412.7118518.67040.3720.52330.93230.9782
138535534.9437473.4857604.37880.49940.96220.96220.9999
139622612.1049537.9016696.54460.40920.96330.93161
140606625.8987546.3543717.02410.33430.53340.92491
141508509.3843441.8687587.2160.48610.00750.87860.9957
142461449.4054387.5459521.13870.37570.05470.87670.8875
143390393.7077337.6267459.10410.45580.02190.8290.3675
144432434.029370.2411508.80680.47880.87580.77660.7766


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
1330.03880.0033e-041.60510.13380.3657
1340.0456-0.00131e-040.25250.0210.1451
1350.0516-0.07930.00661303.6692108.639110.423
1360.05690.04710.0039430.044535.8375.9864
1370.06180.02020.001787.09147.25762.694
1380.06621e-0400.00323e-040.0163
1390.07040.01620.001397.9128.15932.8565
1400.0743-0.03180.0026395.959932.99675.7443
1410.078-0.00272e-041.91630.15970.3996
1420.08140.02580.0021134.435411.2033.3471
1430.0847-0.00948e-0413.74731.14561.0703
1440.0879-0.00474e-044.11680.34310.5857