Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	99.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	99.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	100.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	99.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	100.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	100.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	101.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	101.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	101.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	100.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	100.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	100.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	101.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	101.1	101.1257	100.1862	102.0652	0.4786	0.5214	0.9947	0.5214
63	101.3	101.1475	99.7281	102.567	0.4166	0.5262	0.9046	0.5262
64	101.8	101.1172	99.3333	102.9012	0.2266	0.4204	0.9403	0.5076
65	102.9	101.1604	99.0736	103.2471	0.0511	0.274	0.7624	0.5226
66	103.2	101.1911	98.8401	103.5422	0.047	0.0771	0.5959	0.5303
67	103.3	101.2157	98.6272	103.8042	0.0573	0.0665	0.4746	0.5349
68	104.5	101.2219	98.4159	104.0278	0.011	0.0733	0.4505	0.5339
69	105	101.2157	98.208	104.2234	0.0068	0.0162	0.4781	0.5301
70	104.9	101.1911	97.9943	104.3879	0.0115	0.0098	0.5708	0.5223
71	104.9	101.1911	97.8159	104.5663	0.0156	0.0156	0.5671	0.5211
72	105.4	101.1911	97.6464	104.7358	0.01	0.0201	0.5639	0.5201
73	106	101.2034	97.4969	104.9099	0.0056	0.0132	0.5218	0.5218

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0047	-3e-04	0	7e-04	1e-04	0.0074
63	0.0072	0.0015	1e-04	0.0232	0.0019	0.044
64	0.009	0.0068	6e-04	0.4662	0.0388	0.1971
65	0.0105	0.0172	0.0014	3.0264	0.2522	0.5022
66	0.0119	0.0199	0.0017	4.0357	0.3363	0.5799
67	0.013	0.0206	0.0017	4.3443	0.362	0.6017
68	0.0141	0.0324	0.0027	10.7463	0.8955	0.9463
69	0.0152	0.0374	0.0031	14.3209	1.1934	1.0924
70	0.0161	0.0367	0.0031	13.7559	1.1463	1.0707
71	0.017	0.0367	0.0031	13.7559	1.1463	1.0707
72	0.0179	0.0416	0.0035	17.7148	1.4762	1.215
73	0.0187	0.0474	0.0039	23.0073	1.9173	1.3847