Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	128.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	121.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	119.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	128.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	108.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	105.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	119.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	111.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	110.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	120.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	97.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	107.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	127.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	117.2	117.0845	103.5569	130.6122	0.4933	0.0694	0.2804	0.0694
38	119.8	116.068	102.2081	129.9278	0.2988	0.4364	0.3137	0.0561
39	116.2	123.1216	109.2408	137.0025	0.1642	0.6805	0.2154	0.2776
40	111	108.8266	93.9448	123.7085	0.3873	0.1657	0.5067	0.0075
41	112.4	104.9736	89.8974	120.0499	0.1672	0.2167	0.4727	0.0019
42	130.6	118.2169	103.1129	133.3209	0.054	0.7748	0.4186	0.1193
43	109.1	110.2888	95.0048	125.5728	0.4394	0.0046	0.4484	0.0146
44	118.8	108.1537	92.7975	123.51	0.0871	0.4519	0.3774	0.0073
45	123.9	117.2438	101.8706	132.6171	0.198	0.4214	0.3579	0.0999
46	101.6	98.4519	83.0396	113.8642	0.3445	6e-04	0.5482	1e-04
47	112.8	106.1947	90.7595	121.63	0.2008	0.7202	0.4242	0.0037
48	128	126.3894	110.9465	141.8322	0.419	0.9577	0.454	0.454

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	0.0589	0.001	1e-04	0.0133	0.0011	0.0333
38	0.0609	0.0322	0.0027	13.9281	1.1607	1.0773
39	0.0575	-0.0562	0.0047	47.9092	3.9924	1.9981
40	0.0698	0.02	0.0017	4.7236	0.3936	0.6274
41	0.0733	0.0707	0.0059	55.1509	4.5959	2.1438
42	0.0652	0.1047	0.0087	153.3412	12.7784	3.5747
43	0.0707	-0.0108	9e-04	1.4132	0.1178	0.3432
44	0.0724	0.0984	0.0082	113.3428	9.4452	3.0733
45	0.0669	0.0568	0.0047	44.3046	3.6921	1.9215
46	0.0799	0.032	0.0027	9.9104	0.8259	0.9088
47	0.0742	0.0622	0.0052	43.6297	3.6358	1.9068
48	0.0623	0.0127	0.0011	2.5941	0.2162	0.465