Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[24])
12	8.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	8.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	8.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	8.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	8.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	8.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	8.1	8.2265	8.0638	8.3924	0.0676	0.9324	6e-04	0.9324
26	8	8.2265	8.0256	8.4323	0.0155	0.8857	0.0046	0.8857
27	7.8	8.2265	7.9938	8.4659	2e-04	0.9681	0.0126	0.8497
28	7.9	8.2377	7.9769	8.5071	0.007	0.9993	0.0282	0.8419
29	7.8	8.2265	7.941	8.5221	0.0024	0.9848	0.0349	0.799
30	7.7	8.2265	7.9182	8.5468	6e-04	0.9955	0.0471	0.7805
31	7.9	8.0329	7.7111	8.3681	0.2185	0.9742	0.0591	0.3474
32	7.8	8.0218	7.6811	8.3775	0.1109	0.7488	0.0626	0.3332
33	7.7	8.1297	7.766	8.5104	0.0135	0.9552	0.082	0.5607
34	7.7	7.914	7.5428	8.3034	0.1407	0.8593	0.075	0.1746
35	7.6	7.914	7.5266	8.3213	0.0654	0.8484	0.0844	0.1854
36	7.5	7.8064	7.4089	8.2252	0.0758	0.8329	0.0847	0.0847

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
25	0.0103	-0.0154	0.0013	0.016	0.0013	0.0365
26	0.0128	-0.0275	0.0023	0.0513	0.0043	0.0654
27	0.0148	-0.0518	0.0043	0.1819	0.0152	0.1231
28	0.0167	-0.041	0.0034	0.1141	0.0095	0.0975
29	0.0183	-0.0518	0.0043	0.1819	0.0152	0.1231
30	0.0199	-0.064	0.0053	0.2772	0.0231	0.152
31	0.0213	-0.0165	0.0014	0.0177	0.0015	0.0384
32	0.0226	-0.0276	0.0023	0.0492	0.0041	0.064
33	0.0239	-0.0529	0.0044	0.1846	0.0154	0.124
34	0.0251	-0.027	0.0023	0.0458	0.0038	0.0618
35	0.0263	-0.0397	0.0033	0.0986	0.0082	0.0906
36	0.0274	-0.0392	0.0033	0.0939	0.0078	0.0884