Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[81])
80	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	110.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	118.9	108.4032	94.1622	122.6443	0.0743	0.4023	0.4023	0.4023
83	131.8	106.6593	78.0845	135.2342	0.0423	0.2006	0.2006	0.4041
84	130.6	104.9155	59.3072	150.5237	0.1348	0.124	0.124	0.4102
85	138.3	103.1716	38.1661	168.1771	0.1448	0.2041	0.2041	0.4161
86	148.4	101.4277	14.909	187.9463	0.1436	0.2018	0.2018	0.4212
87	148.7	99.6838	-10.2778	209.6454	0.1911	0.1926	0.1926	0.4257
88	144.3	97.9399	-37.2491	233.129	0.2507	0.2309	0.2309	0.4295
89	152.5	96.1961	-65.8879	258.28	0.248	0.2804	0.2804	0.4328
90	162.9	94.4522	-96.0972	285.0015	0.2407	0.2752	0.2752	0.4357
91	167.2	92.7083	-127.7952	313.2118	0.2539	0.2663	0.2663	0.4382
92	166.5	90.9644	-160.9117	342.8405	0.2783	0.2765	0.2765	0.4405
93	185.6	89.2205	-195.3854	373.8265	0.2534	0.2973	0.2973	0.4426

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
82	0.067	0.0968	0.0081	110.1824	9.1819	3.0302
83	0.1367	0.2357	0.0196	632.0529	52.6711	7.2575
84	0.2218	0.2448	0.0204	659.6958	54.9746	7.4145
85	0.3215	0.3405	0.0284	1234.0062	102.8339	10.1407
86	0.4352	0.4631	0.0386	2206.3975	183.8665	13.5597
87	0.5628	0.4917	0.041	2402.5866	200.2155	14.1498
88	0.7042	0.4734	0.0394	2149.2559	179.1047	13.383
89	0.8597	0.5853	0.0488	3170.1347	264.1779	16.2536
90	1.0293	0.7247	0.0604	4685.1054	390.4255	19.7592
91	1.2135	0.8035	0.067	5549.015	462.4179	21.5039
92	1.4127	0.8304	0.0692	5705.6257	475.4688	21.8052
93	1.6275	1.0802	0.09	9289.0028	774.0836	27.8224