Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	107.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	107.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	107.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	107.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	107.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	107.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	107.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	107.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	107.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	107.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	107.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	107.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	107.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	107.81	107.8028	107.6984	107.9072	0.4463	0.5949	1	0.5949
50	107.9	107.7997	107.6164	107.9831	0.1419	0.4563	1	0.5415
51	107.8	107.8191	107.5658	108.0725	0.4411	0.2658	0.9965	0.5892
52	107.86	107.8088	107.4941	108.1235	0.3749	0.5218	0.9979	0.5465
53	107.8	107.7897	107.4208	108.1587	0.4782	0.3545	0.9946	0.4994
54	107.74	107.8127	107.3952	108.2301	0.3665	0.5237	0.9896	0.5424
55	107.75	107.81	107.3485	108.2715	0.3994	0.6169	0.9813	0.5339
56	107.83	107.8275	107.3255	108.3295	0.4961	0.6189	0.9715	0.5582
57	107.8	108.0604	107.5207	108.6	0.1722	0.7986	0.973	0.8369
58	107.81	108.1721	107.5972	108.7471	0.1085	0.8977	0.9384	0.9037
59	107.86	108.2517	107.6432	108.8601	0.1035	0.9226	0.947	0.9315
60	107.83	108.2772	107.6367	108.9177	0.0856	0.8992	0.932	0.932

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	5e-04	1e-04	0	1e-04	0	0.0021
50	9e-04	9e-04	1e-04	0.0101	8e-04	0.0289
51	0.0012	-2e-04	0	4e-04	0	0.0055
52	0.0015	5e-04	0	0.0026	2e-04	0.0148
53	0.0017	1e-04	0	1e-04	0	0.003
54	0.002	-7e-04	1e-04	0.0053	4e-04	0.021
55	0.0022	-6e-04	0	0.0036	3e-04	0.0173
56	0.0024	0	0	0	0	7e-04
57	0.0025	-0.0024	2e-04	0.0678	0.0056	0.0752
58	0.0027	-0.0033	3e-04	0.1311	0.0109	0.1045
59	0.0029	-0.0036	3e-04	0.1534	0.0128	0.1131
60	0.003	-0.0041	3e-04	0.2	0.0167	0.1291