Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	113.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	115.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	115.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	115.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	116.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	117.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	116.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	116.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	116.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	116.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	115.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	116.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	115.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	116.43	117.3033	115.8587	118.7442	0.1175	0.976	0.9991	0.976
50	117.39	117.6866	115.7328	119.634	0.3826	0.897	0.9942	0.9677
51	119.17	118.213	115.6084	120.8061	0.2347	0.733	0.9763	0.963
52	119.24	119.2993	116.3234	122.2605	0.4843	0.5341	0.963	0.9888
53	120.03	119.7906	116.5025	123.0608	0.443	0.6293	0.9485	0.9909
54	119.34	119.6832	116.2161	123.1303	0.4226	0.4218	0.9392	0.9854
55	118.49	119.3619	115.7728	122.9296	0.316	0.5048	0.9311	0.9732
56	118.59	118.7457	115.0918	122.3774	0.4665	0.5549	0.9256	0.941
57	117.5	118.6812	114.9935	122.3462	0.2638	0.5195	0.9211	0.935
58	117.56	118.4203	114.7178	122.0997	0.3234	0.688	0.9178	0.9145
59	118.25	118.7994	115.0952	122.4806	0.385	0.7453	0.9152	0.9418
60	118.01	118.4077	114.7022	122.0901	0.4162	0.5334	0.9133	0.9133

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0063	-0.0074	6e-04	0.7626	0.0635	0.2521
50	0.0084	-0.0025	2e-04	0.088	0.0073	0.0856
51	0.0112	0.0081	7e-04	0.9159	0.0763	0.2763
52	0.0127	-5e-04	0	0.0035	3e-04	0.0171
53	0.0139	0.002	2e-04	0.0573	0.0048	0.0691
54	0.0147	-0.0029	2e-04	0.1178	0.0098	0.0991
55	0.0152	-0.0073	6e-04	0.7603	0.0634	0.2517
56	0.0156	-0.0013	1e-04	0.0243	0.002	0.045
57	0.0158	-0.01	8e-04	1.3953	0.1163	0.341
58	0.0159	-0.0073	6e-04	0.7401	0.0617	0.2483
59	0.0158	-0.0046	4e-04	0.3018	0.0251	0.1586
60	0.0159	-0.0034	3e-04	0.1581	0.0132	0.1148