Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	89.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	85.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	77.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	69.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	75.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	85.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	72.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	79.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	85.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	52.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	61.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	82.4	88.0093	76.1459	99.8726	0.177	1	0.3774	1
50	85.4	78.6564	66.2467	91.0661	0.1434	0.2772	0.6032	0.9971
51	78.2	82.8499	69.9277	95.7721	0.2403	0.3495	0.3551	0.9995
52	70.2	76.3651	62.16	90.5702	0.1975	0.4001	0.4323	0.9818
53	70.2	68.7171	54.3613	83.073	0.4198	0.4198	0.4737	0.8476
54	69.3	73.4615	58.7297	88.1934	0.2899	0.6678	0.3931	0.9486
55	77.5	84.057	69.0541	99.0599	0.1958	0.9731	0.415	0.9986
56	66.1	72.824	57.7281	87.92	0.1913	0.2719	0.5323	0.9344
57	69	76.7324	61.4792	91.9857	0.1602	0.9141	0.342	0.977
58	75.3	84.689	69.3597	100.0182	0.115	0.9776	0.4689	0.9987
59	58.2	52.6189	37.2365	68.0014	0.2385	0.0019	0.5213	0.1371
60	59.7	60.6489	45.2113	76.0864	0.4521	0.6221	0.4721	0.4721

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0688	-0.0637	0.0053	31.4639	2.622	1.6193
50	0.0805	0.0857	0.0071	45.4763	3.7897	1.9467
51	0.0796	-0.0561	0.0047	21.6217	1.8018	1.3423
52	0.0949	-0.0807	0.0067	38.0079	3.1673	1.7797
53	0.1066	0.0216	0.0018	2.1988	0.1832	0.4281
54	0.1023	-0.0566	0.0047	17.3182	1.4432	1.2013
55	0.0911	-0.078	0.0065	42.994	3.5828	1.8928
56	0.1058	-0.0923	0.0077	45.2127	3.7677	1.9411
57	0.1014	-0.1008	0.0084	59.7907	4.9826	2.2322
58	0.0924	-0.1109	0.0092	88.1526	7.346	2.7104
59	0.1492	0.1061	0.0088	31.1484	2.5957	1.6111
60	0.1299	-0.0156	0.0013	0.9003	0.075	0.2739