Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
36120.15-------
37119.8-------
38120.27-------
39120.71-------
40121.87-------
41121.87-------
42121.92-------
43123.72-------
44124.38-------
45123.21-------
46123.17-------
47122.95-------
48123.46-------
49123.24123.4608122.8378124.08380.24360.50110.501
50123.86124.0484123.2839124.81280.31460.980910.9343
51124.28124.4084123.5249125.2920.38790.888110.9823
52124.78125.6535124.6651126.64190.04160.996811
53125.19125.656124.5728126.73920.19950.943511
54125.46125.786124.6158126.95630.29250.840911
55127.6127.596126.3447128.84740.49750.999611
56127.8127.9838126.6564129.31130.3930.714611
57126.63126.9164125.517128.31580.34420.107911
58127.06127.2338125.766128.70170.40820.7911
59126.77126.8815125.3483128.41480.44330.409811
60127.05127.3467125.7507128.94270.35780.760611


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.0026-0.00181e-040.04880.00410.0637
500.0031-0.00151e-040.03550.0030.0544
510.0036-0.0011e-040.01650.00140.0371
520.004-0.0076e-040.7630.06360.2522
530.0044-0.00373e-040.21720.01810.1345
540.0047-0.00262e-040.10630.00890.0941
550.00500000.0011
560.0053-0.00141e-040.03380.00280.0531
570.0056-0.00232e-040.0820.00680.0827
580.0059-0.00141e-040.03020.00250.0502
590.0062-9e-041e-040.01240.0010.0322
600.0064-0.00232e-040.0880.00730.0857