Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	88.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	104.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	113.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	112.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	100.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	107.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	126.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	102.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	117.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	128.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	87.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	93.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	122.7	118.1292	138.9684	104.0228	0.7373	4e-04	0.3784	4e-04
70	126.2	120.2821	142.8941	105.2947	0.7805	0.6241	0.0177	3e-04
71	124.6	116.648	138.7711	102.0285	0.8568	0.8998	0.3316	0.0011
72	116.7	110.2037	131.7527	96.1124	0.8169	0.9774	0.6094	0.0113
73	115.2	101.7673	118.7174	90.0819	0.9879	0.9939	0.4356	0.0907
74	111.1	106.6783	127.4827	93.0613	0.7378	0.89	0.5357	0.0319
75	129.9	123.3379	158.3494	103.5548	0.7422	0.1127	0.6267	0.0017
76	113.3	109.373	133.3881	94.3124	0.6953	0.9962	0.1998	0.0213
77	118.5	109.0729	133.6865	93.7958	0.8868	0.7062	0.8713	0.025
78	133.5	124.7814	164.2488	103.5434	0.7895	0.2811	0.6446	0.0021
79	102.1	88.0664	101.0787	78.769	0.9985	1	0.4525	0.8866
80	102.4	88.8367	102.4126	79.2306	0.9972	0.9966	0.8444	0.8444

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	-0.0609	0.0387	0.0032	20.8923	1.741	1.3195
70	-0.0636	0.0492	0.0041	35.0214	2.9185	1.7083
71	-0.0639	0.0682	0.0057	63.2337	5.2695	2.2955
72	-0.0652	0.0589	0.0049	42.2016	3.5168	1.8753
73	-0.0586	0.132	0.011	180.4385	15.0365	3.8777
74	-0.0651	0.0414	0.0035	19.5513	1.6293	1.2764
75	-0.0818	0.0532	0.0044	43.0607	3.5884	1.8943
76	-0.0703	0.0359	0.003	15.4214	1.2851	1.1336
77	-0.0715	0.0864	0.0072	88.87	7.4058	2.7214
78	-0.0868	0.0699	0.0058	76.0139	6.3345	2.5168
79	-0.0539	0.1594	0.0133	196.9412	16.4118	4.0511
80	-0.0552	0.1527	0.0127	183.9643	15.3304	3.9154