Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	3127	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	3777	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	3322	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	3899	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	4033	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	4463	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	4819	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	4246	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	4255	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	4760	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	4581	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	4309	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	4016	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	3601	4133.3428	3573.4399	4693.2457	0.0312	0.6594	0.8939	0.6594
62	3257	3563.1804	2928.485	4197.8758	0.1722	0.4535	0.7718	0.081
63	3823	4046.5318	3392.0834	4700.9801	0.2516	0.991	0.6707	0.5364
64	3940	4100.5249	3440.5551	4760.4948	0.3168	0.7951	0.5795	0.5991
65	4534	4528.2679	3866.7329	5189.803	0.4932	0.9593	0.5767	0.9355
66	4575	4733.7883	4071.8078	5395.7687	0.3191	0.7229	0.4004	0.9832
67	3953	4127.7011	3465.5938	4789.8085	0.3025	0.0927	0.3631	0.6296
68	4206	4241.7619	3579.6184	4903.9055	0.4578	0.8037	0.4844	0.748
69	4649	4667.0547	4004.9009	5329.2086	0.4787	0.9138	0.3916	0.973
70	4353	4505.7193	3843.5625	5167.8761	0.3256	0.3357	0.4118	0.9264
71	3835	3882.0034	3219.8458	4544.161	0.4447	0.0816	0.1031	0.3458
72	3944	3666.8941	3004.7362	4329.052	0.206	0.3094	0.1507	0.1507

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0691	-0.1288	0.0107	283388.871	23615.7393	153.6741
62	0.0909	-0.0859	0.0072	93746.4438	7812.2037	88.3867
63	0.0825	-0.0552	0.0046	49966.4472	4163.8706	64.5281
64	0.0821	-0.0391	0.0033	25768.2473	2147.3539	46.3396
65	0.0745	0.0013	1e-04	32.8564	2.738	1.6547
66	0.0713	-0.0335	0.0028	25213.7084	2101.1424	45.8382
67	0.0818	-0.0423	0.0035	30520.4875	2543.374	50.4319
68	0.0796	-0.0084	7e-04	1278.9158	106.5763	10.3236
69	0.0724	-0.0039	3e-04	325.9734	27.1644	5.212
70	0.075	-0.0339	0.0028	23323.196	1943.5997	44.0863
71	0.087	-0.0121	0.001	2209.319	184.1099	13.5687
72	0.0921	0.0756	0.0063	76787.6769	6398.9731	79.9936