Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	4315	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	5161	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	4433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	5199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	5582	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	5936	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	6391	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	5647	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	5827	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	6101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	5777	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	5511	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	5036	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	4468	5352.7149	4622.5738	6082.856	0.0088	0.8024	0.6966	0.8024
62	4053	4653.7503	3845.378	5462.1227	0.0726	0.6738	0.7038	0.177
63	4821	5340.5047	4515.4959	6165.5135	0.1086	0.9989	0.6316	0.7653
64	5138	5650.21	4821.4914	6478.9286	0.1129	0.9751	0.5641	0.9268
65	6102	6104.9151	5275.3612	6934.469	0.4973	0.9888	0.6551	0.9942
66	6029	6375.5801	5545.8377	7205.3224	0.2065	0.7409	0.4855	0.9992
67	5365	5644.5574	4814.7725	6474.3423	0.2545	0.1819	0.4977	0.9247
68	5717	5876.4282	5046.6337	6706.2227	0.3532	0.8865	0.5465	0.9764
69	6150	6140.6592	5310.8625	6970.4559	0.4912	0.8415	0.5373	0.9955
70	5737	5875.4735	5045.6764	6705.2707	0.3718	0.2584	0.592	0.9763
71	5268	5123.424	4293.6267	5953.2213	0.3664	0.0736	0.18	0.5818
72	5307	4748.1798	3918.3825	5577.9771	0.0934	0.1098	0.2483	0.2483

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0696	-0.1653	0.0138	782720.4136	65226.7011	255.3952
62	0.0886	-0.1291	0.0108	360900.9767	30075.0814	173.4217
63	0.0788	-0.0973	0.0081	269885.1764	22490.4314	149.9681
64	0.0748	-0.0907	0.0076	262359.11	21863.2592	147.8623
65	0.0693	-5e-04	0	8.498	0.7082	0.8415
66	0.0664	-0.0544	0.0045	120117.7329	10009.8111	100.049
67	0.075	-0.0495	0.0041	78152.349	6512.6957	80.7013
68	0.072	-0.0271	0.0023	25417.3622	2118.1135	46.023
69	0.0689	0.0015	1e-04	87.2507	7.2709	2.6965
70	0.0721	-0.0236	0.002	19174.919	1597.9099	39.9739
71	0.0826	0.0282	0.0024	20902.2189	1741.8516	41.7355
72	0.0892	0.1177	0.0098	312279.972	26023.331	161.3175