Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	107.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	101.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	93.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	100.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	98.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	112.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	101.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	107.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	110.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	90.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	95.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	111.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	113	104.1242	94.5775	114.6346	0.0489	0.0874	0.6676	0.0874
50	107.5	106.0576	95.8152	117.3949	0.4015	0.115	0.6128	0.1778
51	95.9	94.4432	84.6172	105.4101	0.3973	0.0098	0.5739	0.0012
52	106.3	100.8807	90.2365	112.7804	0.186	0.794	0.5512	0.0416
53	105.2	99.04	88.4476	110.901	0.1544	0.1151	0.5356	0.0206
54	117.2	113.3332	101.1649	126.9651	0.2891	0.8789	0.5248	0.6095
55	106.9	101.6734	90.7255	113.9423	0.2019	0.0066	0.5174	0.0601
56	108.2	107.3023	95.7364	120.2655	0.446	0.5243	0.5122	0.2678
57	113	110.947	98.9805	124.3603	0.3821	0.6559	0.5086	0.4736
58	96.1	90.384	80.6328	101.3145	0.1527	0	0.506	1e-04
59	100.2	95.5624	85.2509	107.1211	0.2158	0.4637	0.5042	0.0036
60	108.1	111.4511	99.4244	124.9325	0.3131	0.9491	0.503	0.503

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0515	0.0852	0.0071	78.7791	6.5649	2.5622
50	0.0545	0.0136	0.0011	2.0804	0.1734	0.4164
51	0.0592	0.0154	0.0013	2.1224	0.1769	0.4206
52	0.0602	0.0537	0.0045	29.3693	2.4474	1.5644
53	0.0611	0.0622	0.0052	37.9454	3.1621	1.7782
54	0.0614	0.0341	0.0028	14.9524	1.246	1.1163
55	0.0616	0.0514	0.0043	27.3178	2.2765	1.5088
56	0.0616	0.0084	7e-04	0.8058	0.0672	0.2591
57	0.0617	0.0185	0.0015	4.2148	0.3512	0.5926
58	0.0617	0.0632	0.0053	32.6725	2.7227	1.6501
59	0.0617	0.0485	0.004	21.5074	1.7923	1.3388
60	0.0617	-0.0301	0.0025	11.2296	0.9358	0.9674